Strongly advocate for deregulation and tax cuts! Wall Street rushes towards 'Trump 2.0'.
Regardless of their past positions, or concerns about retaliation by President Trump, Wall Street executives are actively aligning with Trump, anticipating potential tax cuts and deregulation policies. Some are preparing to apply for positions in the White House, while others are willing to provide donations to the Trump team. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs CEOs have previously congratulated Trump, stating that the policies of the new government will have a significant impact on the banking industry business.
Wall Street's latest consensus: In the Trump 2.0 era, the Federal Reserve may slow down its rate cuts.
①After the results of the usa election were released, Wall Street in the usa became increasingly concerned about the prospect of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year; ②On Thursday Eastern Time, following a statement by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, many investment banks gave up hope for a substantial rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year.
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Bond giant Pimco: Trump is adding fuel to the fire for the US economy, so risk assets shouldn't be too happy too soon.
Pimco warns that the post-election surge in US stocks may face a reversal. Trump's policy plans could lead to intensified inflation, overheating of the economy, and hinder the Fed's interest rate cut process. Risk assets should not be blindly optimistic.
The Fed paused rate cuts as betting on rate hikes heats up! Traders expect an 80% probability of a pause in January next year, with Goldman Sachs expecting a slowdown in rate cuts.
Cme tools show that the probability of pausing rate cuts in December is about 35% in the futures market this Friday, and the probability of pausing in January next year is about 78%. The probabilities announced by the Federal Reserve before the rate cuts on Thursday are 33% and 67% respectively. Goldman Sachs currently predicts rate cuts of 25 basis points in June and September next year, compared to the previous forecast of May and June.