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Oil prices have risen for five consecutive times, Energy stocks lead the rise in U.S. stocks. What is the market anticipating?
The rise in oil prices is mainly due to the market's expectation of the Trump administration's upcoming sanctions against Iran, Venezuela, and Russia, which will lead to a reduction in Global Crude Oil Product supply, causing Energy Stocks to strengthen and become the stocks with the largest increase this week.
Hong Kong stocks are moving differently | Petroleum stocks are collectively rising as the cold wave in the USA drives Crude Oil Product fluctuations upwards. Institutions continue to be Bullish on the long-term value of the "three major oil companies."
Petroleum stocks collectively rose, as of the time of publication, China Oilfield Services (02883) increased by 3.2%, reaching 7.1 Hong Kong dollars; Sinopec (00386) rose by 2.51%, reaching 4.49 Hong Kong dollars; CNOOC (00883) increased by 1.971%, reaching 19.22 Hong Kong dollars.
Ignoring OPEC+'s decision to postpone production cuts, Kazakhstan still plans to increase its oil production by 2025.
Kazakhstan insists on increasing its oil production next year, which may further exacerbate tensions with its OPEC+ partners.
Saudi Arabia's big move! Lowering all oil prices for Asia in January 2025.
According to the latest news, Saudi Aramco announced a reduction in all oil prices for Asia in January 2025, with the official price of Arab light crude oil reduced by 80 cents per barrel, set at a premium of $0.9 over the average price of Oman/Dubai (previously a premium of $1.7).
It has barely held on by extending production cuts, but how much longer can OPEC+ last?
HSBC believes that if OPEC+ cancels the "extra voluntary" production cut plan as scheduled in March 2026, it will cause the overproduction of crude oil products to expand to 1.2 million barrels per day, further putting downward pressure on oil prices. This means that the situation where global crude oil market supply exceeds demand will continue until 2026, at which time OPEC+ may also have no "room" to cancel the production cut plan.
OPEC+ plans to postpone the production increase until April next year! International oil prices have declined in the short term.
OPEC+ stated at the meeting that they have agreed in principle to postpone the originally scheduled January production increase plan, and will gradually lift the oil production cuts starting from April 2025 until September 2026. WTI crude oil futures and Brent crude oil futures experienced a short-term plunge.
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