How will US bond yields impact the US stock market: 4.5% is tough, 4.75% is painful, and 5% is catastrophic?

① Since the end of the long bull market for US Treasuries in 2020 and the yield hitting bottom, the S&P 500 Index has cumulatively risen by 117% over a total of 1,754 days; ② however, during the 89 days when the 10-year US Treasury yield was above 4.5%, US stocks fell by 2.1%; ③ in the 20 days when the yield exceeded 4.75%, the decline in US stocks reached 3.7%.

cls.cn14:58

The "Trump 2.0" will officially begin! What important dates are there in January in the USA political scene?

① With the official commencement of the new government and the new members of Congress gradually taking their oaths of office, the next month will feature several significant days for the political landscape in the USA. ② Many industry insiders have already circled several dates on the January Calendar: January 3rd, January 6th, January 20th...

cls.cn18:36

Daily Options Tracking | Bitcoin has fallen continuously! MSTR plunged 8% overnight, with multiple put options expiring on Friday doubling profit; NVIDIA saw a bearish L last night with over 21 million dollars involved.

Tesla faced a three-day decline, with a further drop of 3% overnight; last night, the largest Tesla Options transaction amounted to 8.8513 million dollars, which was in a bearish direction.

Futu News17:22

A precursor to trouble? The sentiment around US Treasuries has already become "absolutely terrible"!

This month, the outflow of funds from the largest long-term Treasury Bond ETF in the USA reached a historical high, and research companies indicate that the situation could not get any worse...

Golden10 Data15:28

Allianz's chief economist: Next year, the Federal Reserve has two bad choices.

The Federal Reserve faces a choice: either accept inflation above the target or risk dragging the economy into recession by lowering inflation.

Golden10 Data14:53

Key manufacturing indicators in the USA have collapsed! The Chicago PMI unexpectedly plummeted to near the lows experienced during the pandemic.

In December, the Chicago PMI in the USA was 36.9, significantly below the expected 43, with the previous value in November being 40.2. Given the dismal Chicago PMI data, the upcoming critical ISM manufacturing PMI to be released later this week may also be disappointing. The unexpected sharp decline in the Chicago PMI has led to an expansion in the gains of US Treasury prices during the day, and the drop in US stock prices has also widened at one point.

wallstreetcn09:01