5B5W S&P 5350MBePW241220
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Don't just focus on the polls! The trend of the US stock market is the compass for the US presidential election. Here is an investment guide for you to check out.
Analysts have found that since 1984, as long as the S&P 500 index rises accumulatively between August and October, the ruling party will win the election; on the contrary, if the S&P 500 index drops during this period, the challenger will win.
The US economy is doing well, so why start cutting interest rates? The Wall Street Journal: The Federal Reserve is facing a complex situation.
Analysts believe that after the first interest rate cut on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will remain restrictive. Although it is unclear whether it can stimulate the real estate market to become active again, it is expected to encourage companies to increase equipment investment.
It's surging again! The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points this week has exceeded 50 percent.
Traders now believe that there is a higher probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September than by 25 basis points, but there is still one data that could disrupt the market before the results are announced...
Express News | Standard Chartered Bank warns: The Fed should not cut interest rates by 50 basis points.
Famous Wall Street bull: US stocks will rebound for several weeks after the Federal Reserve's September interest rate decision is announced.
According to the analysis by Fundstrat's research director Tom Lee, the stock market may experience a rebound lasting several weeks after the significant interest rate decision to be made by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday.
The bet on a 50 basis point interest rate cut is becoming increasingly significant, and there are also these reasons for not reducing interest rates substantially.
Dow Jones hit a new high, gold reached a new high, and the Japanese yen broke through the 140 level.
Former leaders of the Federal Reserve: A big move is needed, a 50 basis point rate cut is reasonable, and I believe Powell will do so.
Former New York Fed Chairman Dudley reiterated on Monday his statement from last Friday, stating that there are valid reasons for the Fed to cut interest rates by 50 basis points at the September meeting.
The market expectations are very aggressive. What should we do if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates by 50 basis points on Wednesday?
Some analysts believe that for the market, the only important thing this week is whether the Fed chooses to cut interest rates by 25 or 50 basis points. If the rate cut is less than 50 basis points, it may create disappointment and trigger stock and bond market selling, causing a significant 'financial tightening shock'.
The market expects a 50 basis point rate cut, which is not enough! US lawmakers have sent a joint letter to Powell calling for a 75 basis point rate cut.
The futures prices on Monday reflected that investors expected a 50 basis point rate cut from the Fed this week, with a probability of close to 60%. Blackrock said the market's pricing of the rate cut cycle was a bit overdone, while a joint letter from Democratic senators warned that being too cautious about the rate cut would unnecessarily expose the economy to the risk of a recession.
Futu Morning Post | Senators jointly write to Powell, urging a 75 basis point rate cut this week; Intel to customize AI chips for amazon, with stock soaring over 11% after hours.
Barclays argues that if Trump implements unilateral forex intervention to weaken the US dollar, the cost will be too high; Ultraman has left the OpenAI safety and security committee, which will be chaired by Zico Kolter.
Is liquidity flashing red again? The overnight reverse repo amount of the Federal Reserve has fallen below 250 billion for the first time in three years.
Recently, the expectations for a loose cycle by the Federal Reserve have been heating up, despite the recent reduction in US Treasury supply, the funds held in the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement tool RRP continue to decline, reflecting mmf's desire to lock in higher interest rates.
Trump: It was Biden and Harris's inflammatory rhetoric that led to my assassination.
Trump also stated that Biden and Harris' policies are "destroying" this country, allowing millions of very dangerous immigrants to enter, and destroying the nation and cities.
US stocks closing | The three major indexes have mixed gains and losses, with the Dow hitting a new high! The performance of technology stocks is divergent, with Intel up more than 6% and Apple down nearly 3%.
On the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, there was continued rotation in the U.S. stock market, with investors selling technology stocks and buying blue chip and small cap stocks.
TOP 20 Trading Volume | Apple fell nearly 3%, iPhone 16 sales prospects are worrying; Oracle rose more than 5% and set another historical high during the trading session.
On Monday, the top trading volume in the US stock market was nvidia, which fell by 1.95%. US Secretary of Commerce Raimondo stated that current US companies are overly reliant on Taiwan Semiconductor for chip manufacturing; Apple, the second top, fell by 2.78%, with a turnover of 12.546 billion US dollars; Tesla, the third top, fell by 1.52%, with a turnover of 12.254 billion US dollars.
Express News | The three major US stock indexes closed mixed, with the Nasdaq falling 0.52%, the S&P 500 index rising 0.13%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.55%.
"Critical moment"! What are the key points of the most important decision by the Federal Reserve in recent years early Thursday morning?
In addition to the magnitude of the interest rate cut, the dot plot is particularly important for this year's interest rate cut forecast. If more members support a larger interest rate cut, the market may adjust asset pricing accordingly. In addition, how Powell "explains" the magnitude of the interest rate cut at the press conference will also affect the volatility of the financial market.
Express News | Goldman Sachs expects the s&p 500 index to rise by about 6% to 6000 points in the next 12 months.
The Federal Reserve's big event is coming up, and the options market is heating up with speculation! The S&P 500 index typically fluctuates by about 1.2% on interest rate decision days.
Ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting this week, stock market investors are taking defensive measures by turning to traditionally safer sectors, despite market sentiment leaning towards a larger rate cut by the Fed.
Goldman Sachs: Hedge funds have been selling global equities for nine consecutive weeks, while financial stocks are regaining favor.
A report from Goldman Sachs shows that banks, insurance companies, and trading companies are once again favored by hedge funds, which have been purchasing stocks of these companies at the fastest pace since June 2023.
U.S. stocks early market | The Dow hit a new high again, the Nasdaq fell by nearly 1%; nvidia, apple fell by about 3%, Oracle rose more than 3% against the market
As of press time, the Dow Jones rose by 0.48%, while the S&P rose by 0.2%. Investors are waiting for the highly anticipated September monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve, expecting the institution to cut interest rates for the first time since 2020, but there are differences of opinion on the extent of the rate cut. The Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also hold policy meetings this week.