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The significant risks in November are undergoing crucial changes.
Less than a month away from the usa presidential election day on November 5th, the market is starting to price in the risks of the election results. Currently, Trump has regained a leading advantage, adding variables to the election. CICC believes that for subsequent assets, the overall bullishness of the election is favorable for US stocks but tariffs are unfavorable for chinese assets; the US dollar is relatively strong, gold is neutral, interest rates are rising; bulk commodities may benefit from expectations of Trump's stimulus.
Trump or Harris? Analysts are hotly debating the impact of the election results on various sectors of the US stock market.
①Over the past 8 years, the Trump administration and the Biden-Harris administration have fully demonstrated their policy orientations; ②Overall, industries such as finance and technology that are under the key regulation of the Biden administration are more likely to benefit from Trump's "rollback" policies, while the bullish outlook for other industries is relatively less obvious.
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