IEA Monthly Report: Even if OPEC+ delays production increases, there will still be an oversupply of oil next year!
The IEA stated that if OPEC+ implements the production recovery plan starting in April, the Global market will face a surplus of 1.4 million barrels per day. The IEA has raised the forecast for global oil demand growth in 2025 by 90,000 barrels to 1.1 million barrels, mainly due to the economic stimulus measures recently announced by China.
Afternoon Crude Oil Product analysis: USA crude oil inventories have plummeted, can oil prices continue to rise?
The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that for the week ending December 6, US Crude Oil Product inventories decreased by X thousand barrels...
OPEC has cut its oil demand forecast for the fifth consecutive month, with the largest reduction to date.
OPEC has lowered its forecast for Consumer growth in 2024 by 0.21 million barrels per day to 1.6 million barrels per day. Since July, OPEC has reduced its forecast by 27%. Analysts believe that OPEC's forecast still exceeds the general market expectations and there is a gap with this year's actual Consumer data.
Midday crude oil analysis: How is the price trend of Brent crude oil under the condition of oversupply?
Despite the ongoing geopolitical tensions, analysts have further lowered their price forecasts for 2025 due to the expectation of a supply surplus next year.
Morgan Stanley's outlook for the 2025 bulk market: gold is the preferred hedge aiming for 3000 dollars, demand supports a V-shaped rebound in industrial metals, and crude oil product continues to fall due to oversupply.
Morgan Stanley forecasts that gold prices will rise to 3,000 dollars per ounce next year, considering potential deficit expansion, silver and platinum may rise to 38 dollars per ounce and 1,200 dollars per ounce respectively. The crude oil market is expected to shift from this year's supply-demand balance to a surplus of 1.3 million barrels per day, with Brent and WTI crude oil prices expected to drop to 70 dollars and 64 dollars respectively by the end of next year.
Not only working hard for nothing but also losing money! Bank of America: OPEC+ will lose more market share.
The usa thinks that OPEC+'s decision to delay production increases is unlikely to boost oil prices, and will instead hand over more market share to other oil-producing countries, including the usa.