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Attention! The technology giants of the US stock market are about to release their financial reports, with heavyweight data such as PCE and non-farm payrolls expected to make a significant impact.
①On the eve of the US election on November 5, the US stock market will experience a "high-energy continuous" week; ②First, 5 of the "seven giants" will release major financial reports this week, followed by heavyweight economic data—US PCE index and non-farm employment report will be released.
BofA's Hartnett: The election will strengthen Wall Street's four core trades, but inflation and economic downturn will reverse everything.
Bank of America analyst Hartnett pointed out that the four core trading strategies on Wall Street now are, bearish on bonds, bullish on gold and technology stocks. Tightening immigration policies may trigger inflation, leading to further increase in gold prices. The market is worried that Fed rate cuts may lead to inflation and overheating of the economy, with bond yields unexpectedly rising after the rate cut, causing US stocks to become more concentrated. Now is not a good time to buy bonds and stocks.
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US stocks are too concentrated! Below the 50% red line, asset management institutions can only sell technology stocks.
This year, the U.S. stock market is unprecedentedly concentrated, with nvidia, apple, and other technology stocks contributing to about half of the index's increase. Funds such as Fidelity and Pimco were forced to sell technology stocks in order to comply with regulatory requirements to keep the investment proportion of heavy-weighted stocks in the portfolio below 50%.
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Yahoo Finance: U.S. stocks continue to need the 'Seven Giants' to complete the bull market heat, the reason is TA.
Investors are still debating whether the next round of market uptrend will be led by a few large technology companies - just like in 2023 and early 2024.
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