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Wall Street follows the guidance of the Federal Reserve, and major institutions predict a decline in US Treasury yields next year.
Wall Street is responding to messages from the Federal Reserve, predicting that even if Trump's trade and tax policies pose risks to the bond market, the short-term US Treasury yields will still decline by 2025. Strategists' forecasts are largely in agreement, believing that the 2-year Treasury yield, which is more sensitive to the Federal Reserve's interest rate policies, will decrease. They also expect that the yield will drop by at least 0.5 percentage points from its current level in 12 months. David Kelly and others from the Morgan Asset Management team stated, "Although investors might be myopically focused on the speed and extent of interest rate cuts next year, they should take a step back and consider the Federal Reserve in 2025."