Week ahead | Powell to attend Congressional hearing! Heavyweight US June CPI to be released on Thursday.
The Q2 earnings season of the US stock market has begun, and JPMorgan and Citigroup will announce their performance on Friday; China will release CPI and PPI data on Wednesday.
How will cooling of the US labor market affect Fed's decision making?
CITIC SEC expects that the Federal Reserve will still lean towards controlling inflation risks, not lowering interest rates during the year, "exchanging time for space," and continuing to suppress demand and inflation in the USA.
Employment Cooling: Has the US labor market weakened?
On July 5th, 2024, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the non-farm employment data for June 2024: the US added 0.206 million non-farm jobs in June 2024, expected to increase by 0.19 million, and the previous value was revised down to 0.218 million; the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate was 4.1%, expected to be 4%, and the previous value was 4%.
Goldman Sachs regards the cooling of US non-farm data: The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates twice this year, but don't get too excited about it.
JPMorgan Asset Management's Chief Global Strategist, David Kelly, believes that although the latest non-farm data shows that the US economy is gradually slowing down and the Federal Reserve expects to cut interest rates twice in 2024. However, he is not optimistic about the US stock market because of the high risk of a significant pullback in stock prices.
Biden's self-rescue effect is not good, and the momentum of the Democratic Party's 'palace forcing' continues to strengthen.
According to reports, Virginia Democratic senator Mark Warner is trying to convene a group of Democratic senators next week to discuss Biden's re-election and its possible impact on lower-level elections.
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"Only God can make me drop out!" Biden passionately promises to continue the campaign, but he misspoke again this time.
On Friday, US Eastern Time, Biden stated in an interview that he will continue to run for the presidency, and that he is the best candidate to stop Trump from returning to the White House in November. However, it was a bit awkward that he misspoke during this 22-minute interview. On Monday next week, US Eastern Time, several Democratic congressmen will have a meeting to discuss persuading Biden to drop out of the race.
Nvidia has fallen, and bitcoin has crashed, but the US stock market continues to move forward under heavy pressure.
Bearish analysts have repeatedly misjudged the market and lost their jobs. Some institutions have even abandoned the traditional practice of setting target prices for large caps. The rising price of Mag 7 has pushed the S&P 500's P/E ratio to 26 times, higher than any election year since at least 1990.
Express News | Bank of America: the rise in index driven by giant stocks is a market feature, not a market bug.
Has the US labor market still been "strong"? Media reported that non-farm payrolls data for the first two months were significantly revised downward.
"New American News Agency" stated that although the non-farm data in June is not enough to make the Fed cut interest rates at the July meeting, it is likely to cause a more intense debate on cutting interest rates in September at the July meeting.
"Fed's top three": Although there has been progress in inflation control work, it has not been completed yet.
On Friday, New York Fed President Williams delivered a speech at an event in Mumbai, India, stating that despite recent declines, inflation rates are close to the Fed's target of 2%, and Williams emphasizes policymakers still need to continue efforts to achieve this goal.
Fed Monetary Policy Report: Inflation slows, confidence still needed before rate cuts, closely watching next week's Powell hearing!
The report summarizes the state of the US economy in the first half of this year and the execution of the mmf policy by the Federal Reserve, which is almost consistent with the discussions in previous Federal Reserve meetings.
Top 20 turnover | Tesla has risen for 8 consecutive days, up more than 27% this week, with a total transaction volume of over 38 billion US dollars.
On Friday, Tesla was the top volume trading company in U.S. stocks, rising 2.08% for the eighth consecutive trading day, and the stock price hit a new six-month high with a transaction volume of $38.342 billion. The stock has risen more than 27% this week, wiping out most of its losses this year. Nvidia, ranked 2nd, fell 1.91% with a transaction volume of $27.207 billion. Apple, ranked 3rd, rose 2.16%, with a transaction volume of $13.591 billion.
U.S. stocks closed with the expectation of interest rate cuts boosted by non-farm payrolls, with the S&P and Nasdaq hitting new highs! Tesla rose nearly 38% in eight days, while Nvidia cooled off.
In June, non-farm payroll employment in the USA fell sharply, with significant downward revisions to previous data, and the unexpected rise in unemployment rate highlighted a cooling labor market, leading the market to bet over 70% on rate cuts in September and December.
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10 Information Technology Stocks Whale Activity In Today's Session
This whale alert can help traders discover the next big trading opportunities.Whales are entities with large sums of money and we track their transactions here at Benzinga on our options activity scan