Direct hit on the USA election: When is the earliest possible outcome of this election?
The earliest time the results of this year's usa election will be announced. Market volatility is likely to soar, traders need to do risk management.
Did the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points in November to stabilize? Major banks collectively warned: the subsequent easing path may be less than expected!
Last week, a series of economic data in the usa indicated that inflation continued to slow, signs of cooling in the labor market, while consumer spending remained robust. However, the core issue currently facing the policymakers at the Federal Reserve is: how long will these trends continue, and at what level should interest rates remain stable?
US Stock Market Outlook | The peak battle of the US election! Trump's technology stocks surged more than 9% in pre-market trading, while the three major US stock index futures rose slightly, and Chinese concept stocks rose collectively.
Well-known Wall Street bear 'surrenders'! Bullish on s&p 500 to rise to 6100 points before the year-end; Palantir surges over 14% pre-market, Q3 earnings exceed expectations, raising annual revenue guidance; Super Micro Computer faces new crisis amid accounting scandal, nvidia rumored to transfer orders to other suppliers.
Direct hit on the USA election | Trump VS Harris, who will win?
The 2024 US presidential election will officially vote on November 5, kicking off a critical battle that will determine the future direction of the United States.
The election has officially kicked off! The ultimate choice for the President of the United States, these four contingency plans are here to "escort" you.
In 2024, the usa presidential election may have four main outcomes (victory of two candidates, with different combinations of congressional control), each of which could have different impacts on the global financial markets.
The most likely two scenarios for the USA presidential election, how to trade? This is the answer from Goldman Sachs.
Daiwa stated that the market is still inclined towards Trump winning and the Republicans sweeping Congress. In this scenario, if the volatility of US bond yields remains limited, cyclical stocks will perform well. At the same time, the possibility of Harris winning and Congress being divided is also increasing, in which case consumer stocks affected by tariffs and wind power stocks will perform well.
The Stock Market Is Expecting More Interest-rate Cuts Than the Fed Can Give
The day before the election, the usa bitcoin etf saw record outflows.
Traders are preparing for the market volatility brought by the election. Options pricing implies that the expected market volatility of bitcoin on the day after the vote will reach 8%, which is 4 times the normal situation.
Express News | Pictet Asset Management has upgraded the ratings of China and USA stocks, with an optimistic view on the economic outlook.
How will the sector rotation of US stocks develop after the election? JPMorgan has provided four possible outcomes.
JPMorgan expects that the red sweep will introduce positive policies, tax cuts, and relaxed regulations in key industries such as energy, banks, industry, and transportation, while the blue sweep may not be as favorable to the stock market. It is expected that Democrats will prioritize financial measures targeting green energy, medical care reform, and potentially increasing corporate taxes.
Huge uncertainty! Has the US stock market already hit a "ceiling"?
A market veteran pointed out that, impacted by the election, the Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut space is limited, and US stocks are more likely to "stall."......
Daily options tracking | Up 14% after hours! Palantir pre-earnings options trading volume increased by 1.2 times; US bond etf call options made a profit of 200%, implied volatility level approaching historical highs before the election.
Nvidia rose by 0.48% yesterday, with its market cap surpassing Apple to become the global number one at one point. A big player bought calls worth 3 million USD; there are 45 million USD in put options on SPY, with big players betting on a drop in the S&P 500 by the end of the year.
Nvidia replaces Intel to join the Dow, and the chip industry welcomes a new generation of leaders.
After intel's stock price plummeted and its weight approached "weightlessness", nvidia is about to replace it as a component stock of the Dow, marking the change of chip giants.
Taking history as a mirror: What has been the trend of the US stock market after each major election?
History shows that the stock market in the USA typically rises after presidential elections, but first, it is necessary to prepare for some short-term fluctuations.
Goldman Sachs firmly believes that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year, and will continue to cut four times in the first half of next year.
Goldman Sachs chief economist continues to predict that the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates, but be cautious of these risks...
Daily real estate industry updates summary (2024-11-05)
Recently, local mortgage rates have decreased significantly following the LPR decrease, with the phenomenon of 'breaking the 3s and entering the 2s' becoming common. It is worth noting that in many cities, the commercial loan interest rates have exceeded the lower limit of housing provident fund interest rates, resulting in an inverted rate situation. 'Low cost, low interest rates were originally the core advantages of the provident fund. When they are on par with commercial loans, the competitive advantage is greatly weakened.' Li Yujia, chief researcher at the Guangdong Housing Policy Research Center, predicts that the provident fund interest rates will continue to be lowered in the future.
U.S. election approaching, traders' positions reversed: net long interest rates turned net short, 'fear index' VIX turned net long.
The hold positions in VIX turned net long for the first time since 2018, but the stock market position remains net long; silver's net long position has risen to an eight-year high; in recent weeks, the US dollar position has shifted from net short to net long.
Microsoft Co-Founder Bill Gates Says Everyone In Future Will Have A 'Utilitarian AI Agent' That Will Help You At Work
Latest cryptos news | Bitcoin rises close to $69,000, analysis: history shows that regardless of who wins, Bitcoin may rise after the usa election.
CloverPool (formerly BTC.com) data shows that the bitcoin mining difficulty encountered a mining difficulty adjustment at block height 868,896 (2024-11-05 06:28:08), with a 6.24% increase in mining difficulty to 101.65 T. Currently, the average network hash rate is 831.56 EH/s.
November 4th BTC/ETH spot ETF net outflow situation, usa BTC spot ETF net outflow exceeds 0.5 billion US dollars
Yesterday (November 4), the USA bitcoin spot etf net outflow was 0.5411 billion USD; the USA ethereum spot etf net outflow was 63.2 million USD.