How to view the "historically pessimistic" oil price, goldman sachs: short but long!
Goldman Sachs expects that Brent crude oil will recover to $77 per barrel in the fourth quarter of this year, as the market's overly pessimistic sentiment towards oil demand improves and the OECD inventory remains slightly below normal levels, providing some support for oil prices. However, over time, the market's pessimistic expectations for supply and demand balance are gradually increasing, putting further pressure on oil prices next year.
Oil prices rebounded before the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and it is feared that the bulls will have a difficult time causing a major storm.
Nearly 20% of crude oil production in the Gulf of Mexico in the United States has been halted, and with the imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, it has provided support for oil prices, but the market may still remain cautious.
Update: Market Chatter: Eni Discusses Plenitude Stake Sale With Various Funds
Express News | The expectation of a Fed rate cut and demand concerns coexist, limiting the rise in oil prices.
After "getting the US bond right", BofA's Hartnett: gold hedge against "secondary inflation", the best "contrary trade" is oil and metals.
Hartnett believes that whether it is Harris or Trump who finally becomes the President of the United States, it will not change the trajectory of the expanding government debt and ballooning deficit in the United States. Therefore, the market will turn to gold in a flight-to-safety sentiment, and it is expected that the price of gold will rise to $3,000 per ounce.
If Trump is elected, it would be bullish for the energy industry and boost oil prices? History shows: quite the opposite.
Although Donald Trump, the Republican presidential candidate, has repeatedly praised oil exploration and caused energy stocks to rebound, which is considered a typical "Trump trade", some Wall Street professionals believe the opposite.
Sector Update: Energy Stocks Rise Late Afternoon
Sector Update: Energy
Crude-Oil Futures End Week With Small Gains -- Market Talk
Italy's Eni In Talks With Several Funds Over Potential Sale Of Another Minority Stake In Low-Carbon Unit Plenitude; Talks Between Eni And Investors On Plenitude Based On Valuation Of More Than €10 Billion For The Business, Sources Say
Oil on Track for Weekly Gains After Global Benchmark's Dip Below $70 a Barrel
Investors are overlooking market risks, CIO warns: US debt and oil prices are potential hazards.
The chief investment officer warned that the market faces two major risks, but while paying attention to these challenges, he is also bullish on some stocks, calling them "alternatives to bonds".
Express News | McKinsey: Global oil market will face 'severe oversupply' in 2025.
Demand expectations suffer another blow, WTI falls to a new low for the year.
This week (9.5-9.11), the overall crude oil price showed a downward trend. The average price of WTI this week is $67.72 per barrel, a decrease of $4.53 per barrel, or -6.27% compared to the previous week.
Oil Futures Extend Recovery From Lows -- Market Talk
Eni Approves New Business Structure
Italy's Eni Unveils New Organizational Structure
Crude Oil Extends Rebound Amid Concerns About Impact of Francine Tropical Storm on US Production
Zhongtai Securities: The performance of the three major oil companies is impressive, and the fixed price supports the profit of Changsi.
The growth rate of the polyester filament industry is expected to slow down significantly in 2024. According to the statistics of Zhongtai Securities, the industry is expected to only add about 0.95 million tons of capacity in 2024. Considering the shutdown/reduction and elimination of some facilities, the actual increase in production may be even lower, and the overall capacity of the industry may have already reached its peak.
US Total Crude Oil Stocks Rebound in Week Ended Sept. 6