Bank of America warns: Non-farm payroll regains the power of life and death, interest rate cut expectations may face major changes!
According to Bank of America's report, non-farm payrolls have once again become the most important data for the US stock market, and better-than-expected data may significantly reduce expectations of interest rate cuts.
Express News | China and the USA begin a new round of global strategy communication in Peking.
Just now, the dovish sound of the Federal Reserve sounded! The dollar plummeted, the yen soared, and the world is watching this man.
After a risk appetite rebounded last week, global stock market volatility remained low during the European trading session on Monday (August 19) as traders waited for signs of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The US dollar slipped and the Japanese yen surged. The market will focus on Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole central bank conference this week, which is expected to pave the way for a rate cut in September.
The 'Black Monday of 1987' is happening again: Reversal of group trading, liquidity shock, what happened next?
The Federal Reserve emergency lowered interest rates by 50 basis points and implemented quantitative easing to inject liquidity to "rescue the market". In the end, the 1987 major crash gradually subsided, and the risk did not spread to a larger range, but the danger lies in the possibility that the crash may self-reinforce and evolve into a tightening of crediting.
US stocks hit new highs at the close, and traders are paying attention to key events this week.
On Monday, July 8th, the US stock market rose. The S&P 500 index closed higher, marking the 35th new high for the index this year. This is an important week that may provide key signals for short-term interest rate trends. The stock market fluctuates near historical highs, and traders await the start of earnings season while paying attention to any clues about the US presidential election and the next steps of the Federal Reserve.
Research institutions: The US economy will eventually fall into recession, and the S&P 500 index may plummet 32% in 2025.
On Monday, July 8th, the most pessimistic strategist on Wall Street stated that due to the Fed's inability to prevent economic recession, the stock market will collapse by 32% in 2025.
Powell is about to "bravely" enter Capitol Hill! These points are worth noting.
This hearing will be Powell's last public speech before the US presidential election, and its importance is self-evident...
Looming Powell Testimony, Inflation Data Stifle US Equity Futures Pre-Bell
ASML Holding CEO: The world needs traditional process chips produced in China.
1. Christopher Fuca, CEO of Asml Holding, said that chip buyers, including the German auto industry, need traditional process chips currently invested by Chinese chip manufacturers; 2. According to industry organization SEMI's estimate, the production capacity of Chinese chip manufacturers will increase by 14% to 10.1 million chips per month by 2025, accounting for about one-third of global total production.
Is the pressure high in the U.S. stock market? The strategist says the upcoming earnings season will be crucial!
Many strategists believe that in order to maintain the record-breaking rally, the US stock market may need another 'explosive' earnings season.
China's central bank suddenly announced! The French election brought a 'black swan'. This man is definitely worth paying attention to this week.
On Monday, July 8, global stock markets approached historic highs, but due to concerns over China's economic growth and possible political deadlock in France, investor sentiment was slightly cautious, which weakened the optimism that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates as early as September.
Technical Liu's report: Pay attention to the direction choice of gold, and observe whether silver can stand firm at this point.
U.S. oil remains under pressure, with the US dollar looking to be the primary support, while EUR/USD and GBP/USD approach key resistance levels...
The People's Bank of China has suspended gold purchases for two consecutive months, and the spot gold price still reached a high of $2390 per ounce. With the failure of the "barometer", how will the gold price go?
On July 7th, the updated official reserve assets by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange showed that China's official gold reserves in June 2024 remained unchanged at 72.8 million ounces, indicating that the People's Bank of China had paused gold purchases for two consecutive months. Overall, there has not been a significant decline in the investment force in the gold market recently. There are two main risks for gold: one is the Federal Reserve policy risk and the other is the failure of central bank gold purchases to meet expectations.
Global markets are rising, with China unexpectedly on the forefront! French elections are a surprise this week, so be cautious of Powell and CPI.
After last Friday's non-farm payroll data in the USA maintained the theme of a 'soft landing,' investors began the new week with high spirits, which pushed down the dollar and bond yields, and added momentum to the continued 'risk appetite' market for stocks.
Huaxi Securities: Gold is currently in a long upward cycle and if the price falls in the future, it is expected to drive central banks around the world to purchase gold again.
According to a strategy research report from Huaxi Securities, in the long term, gold is in a large upward cycle. Firstly, in recent years, the scale of US debt has been expanding at an accelerated pace, and the pressure of interest payment continues to rise. After the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the United States imposed financial sanctions on Russia, which has impacted the credibility of the US dollar. Due to concerns about the risk of US dollar credit and US dollar assets, central banks worldwide continue to increase their gold reserves.
Weekly Outlook: Powell is about to brave Capitol Hill! Will gold hit new highs and be unstoppable?
Powell is expected to "release doves" this week! Will CPI data bring good news to the market? Gold is expected to hit a new historical high again, and the US dollar may face a major risk...
Weekly Review: European stock market fluctuated during the 'Election Week', while Wall Street ignored the election and hit record highs. Cryptos plummeted, but gold benefited greatly.
In a week of sustained market volatility globally, Wall Street has ignored the uncertainty brought by political elections and has been the sole performer in the stock market, continuously setting historical new highs. Economic data, instead of meeting expectations, has strengthened investors' optimistic expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which has fueled the rise of the stock market.
U.S. stocks closed higher as non-farm payroll report boosted expectations of interest rate cuts. The three major indexes all rose, with the S&P and Nasdaq hitting new highs.
①The three major indices collectively rose, with S&P and Nasdaq hitting a new closing high; ②Most large technology stocks rose, with Meta rising nearly 6%; ③China concept stocks were generally down, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index falling 2%.
"AI Venture Capital" is making a splash! US venture capital warmly embraces AI startups, with Q2 investments soaring to a two-year high.
According to data released by financial data analysis company PitchBook, in the AI boom, the scale of venture capital funds in the United States in the second quarter soared to $55.6 billion, the highest quarterly performance in two years, and AI is the focus of most venture capital funds. However, despite the rebound in venture capital funds, most of the funds are still concentrated in a few popular projects.
Facing Non-Farm Payrolls: the first heavy data of trade in the second half of the year!
Why does the Non-Farm Payroll data tonight once again affect the nerves of global financial markets and traders?