How to view the "historically pessimistic" oil price, goldman sachs: short but long!
Goldman Sachs expects that Brent crude oil will recover to $77 per barrel in the fourth quarter of this year, as the market's overly pessimistic sentiment towards oil demand improves and the OECD inventory remains slightly below normal levels, providing some support for oil prices. However, over time, the market's pessimistic expectations for supply and demand balance are gradually increasing, putting further pressure on oil prices next year.
Oil prices rebounded before the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, and it is feared that the bulls will have a difficult time causing a major storm.
Nearly 20% of crude oil production in the Gulf of Mexico in the United States has been halted, and with the imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, it has provided support for oil prices, but the market may still remain cautious.
Express News | The expectation of a Fed rate cut and demand concerns coexist, limiting the rise in oil prices.
After "getting the US bond right", BofA's Hartnett: gold hedge against "secondary inflation", the best "contrary trade" is oil and metals.
Hartnett believes that whether it is Harris or Trump who finally becomes the President of the United States, it will not change the trajectory of the expanding government debt and ballooning deficit in the United States. Therefore, the market will turn to gold in a flight-to-safety sentiment, and it is expected that the price of gold will rise to $3,000 per ounce.
If Trump is elected, it would be bullish for the energy industry and boost oil prices? History shows: quite the opposite.
Although Donald Trump, the Republican presidential candidate, has repeatedly praised oil exploration and caused energy stocks to rebound, which is considered a typical "Trump trade", some Wall Street professionals believe the opposite.
Crude-Oil Futures End Week With Small Gains -- Market Talk