U.S. stocks in the early market | The three major indexes showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq rising slightly, most AI concept stocks increasing, palantir up over 5%, and super micro computer up over 8%.
peking time on the evening of the 3rd, the US stock market opened with mixed gains and losses on Tuesday. US stock trade enters the end of the year, with both the s&p 500 index and the Nasdaq hitting record highs yesterday. This week, the market is focusing on the US November non-farm employment data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate path issue.
Will the Federal Reserve lower rates in December? This week's non-farm data is crucial.
Citi stated that Friday's non-farm payroll report will be crucial for the Federal Reserve's recent policies and future direction. If employment data is strong and inflation strengthens in November, the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes at the December FOMC meeting; conversely, there is a possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Citi analyst Andrew Hollenhorst mentioned in a report on December 2 that, according to Powell's latest views, the usa labor market has not stabilized and is still softening. This indicates that the current policy rate is restrictive and the labor market will not be a source of inflationary pressure. This is in contrast to the current market sentiment.
Express News | Bank of America economists and strategists predict that the s&p 500 index will reach 6666 points by the end of 2025.
Dow Edges Higher at Open; Investors Raise Bets on December Rate Cut -- WSJ
Stocks Creeping Higher: Signs of Exhaustion?
“Positions are completely one-sided”! Citigroup: After hitting new highs, shorts have surrendered in the US stock market.
Citi stated that with U.S. stocks hitting new highs for four consecutive weeks, investors' hold positions in s&p 500 futures are "completely one-sided," and those who stick to shorting are now surrendering. So far this year, the s&p 500 has risen more than 27%, setting multiple historical highs.
Buoyed by Trump's election victory, optimism among the usa business community has reached a multi-year high.
Since Trump won the usa presidential election, multiple surveys have shown that American businesses are becoming more optimistic about their prospects. They expect the Trump administration to implement more pro-business policies and reduce regulatory burdens.
US Equity Futures Flat Pre-Bell as Traders Eye Job Openings Data
US stock market outlook | Can it rise 4% more this year? JPMorgan expects the S&P index to reach a maximum of 6,300 points by the end of the year; the donald trump concept is back again! PSQ Holdings surged by 130% in pre-market trading.
Tesla's year-end target is approaching, with a further decline in deliveries in China; Has the US stock market rally peaked? The 'fear indicator' suggests there is still room for growth; Renowned valuation experts recommend buying the 'magnificent 7' technology giants during market adjustments.
Express News | Nasdaq 100 index futures turned higher, S&P 500 index futures rose 0.1%.
S&P 500 and Market Breadth
US stock market outlook | The three major equity index futures are all down, with Morgan Stanley predicting the s&p 500 could still rise 4% this year.
On December 3 (Tuesday) in pre-market trading, the three major US equity index futures all fell.
Renowned valuation experts suggest buying the magnificent 7 during market corrections.
A professor from New York University believes that large technology companies in the usa will continue to generate cash / money market and claims to hold "the magnificent seven stocks."
US and European stock markets are in "two different worlds"! Citigroup: US stock bears surrender, while European stocks are still being shorted.
Citigroup strategist stated that as the s&p 500 index continues to hit record highs and is set to achieve its best performance since 2021, short sellers are surrendering one after another.
Looking back at 2024: Why did the rising trend of US stocks shock Wall Street?
①The US stock market has shown strong performance this year, with the s&p 500 index rising by about 27% year-to-date, expected to achieve the best performance in many years, far exceeding Wall Street's expectations at the beginning of the year. ②So, what are the factors that the US stock market relies on to achieve such a strong increase?
US Stock Gold Mining | Black Friday trade continues to explode! Demand for upgrades stimulates apple to regain the global market cap top spot; retail stocks walmart and costco reach new highs collectively.
The 'audit scandal' ends? Super Micro Computer soared nearly 29% overnight! After external review found no improper behavior, the company replaced its CFO; Advertising agencies The Trade Desk may merge with streaming platform Roku, with the former's stock price reaching a new high, while the latter surged 11% in one day.
Is the US stock market's upward trend over? The "fear indicator": it can still rise!
Analysts indicate that multiple indicators are closely aligned with the situation in the 2016 election year, and the overall tendency of signals still favors the bulls.
Unprecedented! Rockefeller International Chairman warns: The US market is brewing a super large bubble.
① Global investors are currently pouring a large amount of funds into usa assets, and Ruchir Sharma, chairman of Rockefeller International, has issued a warning about this; ② Sharma pointed out that this mentality is "inflating" an unprecedented bubble and distorting the fundamentals of other economies; ③ Currently, usa stocks account for nearly 70% of the major global stock indices, and their premium compared to other regions of the world is somewhat exaggerated.
Full text of "The Influential Committee Member" Waller's speech: What determines whether the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates or chooses to skip?
The speed and timing of interest rate cuts will be determined by the economic conditions encountered along the way; the balance in the labor market indicates that current policies still provide restrictive support for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates. If decision-makers' estimates for the interest rate target range by the end of next year are close to accurate, it is likely that the process of achieving this goal will involve skipping interest rate cuts multiple times.
Daily options tracking | China assets ETF call options significantly bought in; super micro computer stock price skyrocketing, making call options profit 4 times.
Apple rose nearly 1% yesterday, with its stock price surpassing its historical high, reclaiming the top position in global market cap, as a major investor bought 4,000 call options expiring on September 19, 2025, involving an investment of 4.38 million dollars.