As Wall Street collectively calls for a rise in US stocks, Deutsche Bank warns: Beware of these three major risks!
① Deutsche Bank predicts a strong surge in the US stock market by 2025, setting a target price of 7,000 points for the s&p 500 index by the end of 2025; ② At the same time, Deutsche Bank also warns that three major risks: economic downturn, geopolitical turmoil, and rising inflation may hinder the rise of US stocks.
Futu Morning Post | The Central Committee and the State Council have issued opinions on the reform, innovation, and development of digital trade; it is recommended to moderately overweight US stocks! Blackrock's end-of-year strategy is fully revealed.
Morgan Asset Management: The expected annualized ROI of Chinese stocks in the next 10 to 15 years is 6.6%; Suspense escalates! OPEC announces important meeting postponement, intensifying the game of production cuts and increases; Major US technology giants are reportedly urgently hoarding Chinese electronic components.
One month after the election victory, Trump's trade begins to face market scrutiny.
November is the month of clear winners and losers after Trump's victory in the US election.
Daily options tracking | MSTR call ratio rises to 58%, while a major player bets over $0.1 billion on put contracts; marking the largest single-day decline in nearly six months, Dell options trading volume increases nearly 2 times month-on-month.
Nvidia closed down 1.15% on the previous trading day, with options volume reaching 4 million contracts, and the put ratio rising to 39%. On the options chain, bulls are the block orders in the market, with tomorrow's expiration and a strike price of 135 dollars, the call was snapped up by the market, with a transaction of 0.228 million contracts and an open interest of 0.016 million contracts.
Trump may bring inflation shocks, and "Doctor Doom" Rubini is betting on this popular trade!
Rubini refuted traditional safe-haven trades, not bullish on long-term US bonds and bitcoin.
In 2024, how do usa companies use AI? Programming is far ahead, ranked fifth in meeting minutes.
Menlo's survey summary shows that programming scenarios are the most extensive, with developers being among the earliest heavy users of AI. The use of chatbots has significantly increased, and there is also a strong demand for data search and queries. Meeting minutes rank fifth, saving time and increasing productivity.
J.P. Morgan "tears up the report"! Switching from bearish to bullish: expects the s&p 500 to rise to 6,500 points next year.
jpmorgan turns bullish on US stocks, expecting the s&p 500 index to rise in 2025.
Trump's tariffs may choke off 400,000 jobs in the usa! Mexico issues another warning, vowing to retaliate.
① Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum stated on Wednesday that if Trump implements his proposed comprehensive 25% tariff, Mexico will retaliate; ② The Mexican government warned that this move could lead to a loss of 0.4 million jobs in the usa and increase prices for usa consumers.
Futu Daily News | The inflation indicators favored by the Federal Reserve rebound! The attitude towards interest rate cuts in December may be more cautious; the Central Office and the State Office issued the 'Action Plan to Effectively Reduce Logistics Co
The Fed's favorite inflation indicator rebounds! The usa's core PCE price index for October is 2.8% year-on-year; strong consumer spending drives steady growth of 2.8% in the usa's third-quarter GDP; Trump's team is considering digital assets advocate Atkins to serve as SEC chairman.
Performance warning for next year? The sell-off by insiders in the US stock market reaches a new high for a single quarter in twenty years.
Many of the reasons for insiders selling stocks have nothing to do with the prospects of the listed companies. However, considering the recent returns, high valuations, increasing leverage, and the generally highly speculative environment, insiders selling may imply that the performance of US stocks next year may not meet expectations.
U.S. stocks early market | Core PCE has the largest increase since April of this year! Spot gold briefly dropped; quantum computing concept stocks are booming! QUBT and RGTI rose by 10%, and Quantum once triggered a circuit breaker.
The market continues to focus on Trump's tariff policy and cabinet composition. The actual GDP growth rate of the United States in the third quarter slowed down compared to the second quarter.
U.S. stock market preview | The Federal Reserve's "favorite" inflation data is about to be released! Most Chinese concept stocks are rising before the market opens, with jd.com up nearly 4%; cryptos concept stocks are generally rising, with MSTR increasin
Ambarella's stock surged 20% before trading, with third-quarter performance exceeding expectations, and strong growth in ai business; Dell Technologies' stock dropped 12% before trading, with disappointing third-quarter revenue and fourth-quarter guidance.
Daily options tracking | The Black Friday shopping craze is coming! Multiple call orders on amazon have made over 3 times profit; this month has accumulated nearly 37% growth! The call options for gamestop have surged to 83%, and call orders are being hot
MSTR fell over 12% again, retracing nearly 35% from its high. Overnight, there were 0.72 million options contracts traded, with the call ratio dropping significantly to 53.6%. Among them, put options with a strike price of $250 expiring on November 29 witnessed capital inflow, with nearly 0.02 million contracts traded.
Wall Street was not unprepared! Trump has not yet taken office, but "Twitter governance" has already begun.
① Although Trump's primary platform for social media expression may have shifted back from Twitter to his own platform, Truth Social, his habit of "governing through Twitter" has clearly not changed; ② This has led many Wall Street institutions to register for Truth Social accounts early, both before and after the election results were announced, and considering it as a precautionary measure in their strategy tracking models has proven to be a worthwhile effort!
The next nominee for the usa trade representative has been revealed: a long-time protégé of the operator of the "Trump Tariffs 1.0."
① Trump nominated Greeley as the usa Trade Representative. If confirmed by the Senate, Greeley will be responsible for tariff policies and trade agreement negotiations; ② Greeley is the chief of staff and long-time protégé of Trump's former Trade Representative Lighthizer.
US Treasury bonds are at risk of deep selling, with the 10-year US Treasury yield potentially rising to 4.9%.
Options traders are betting that U.S. Treasuries will face a deep sell-off within the next few weeks, and the upcoming major events will be key to these bets.
Express News | Trump nominated Jamieson Greer as the United States Trade Representative.
Lighthizer's disciples, closely involved in the "Trump 1.0" trade negotiations, reported that Greer has been nominated to serve as the usa Trade Representative.
It is reported that Greer served as Lighthizer's chief of staff during the Trump 1.0 era, closely involved in the trade policy decision-making at the time, and is expected to play a key role in Trump's 2.0 trade policy.
Trump + Bezos: Fiscal Difficulties Tighten
Source: CICC Insight Authors: Zhang Jundong, Fan Li, Zhang Wenlang Spending is difficult to cut, tax cuts are being pushed, and fiscal tightening is difficult. On November 22, local time, former US presidential nominee and hedge fund manager Scott Benset was appointed as the Secretary of the Treasury, advocating to reduce the budget deficit rate to 3% by 2028. Prior to this, Trump appointed American entrepreneur Musk to co-found and lead the Federal Government Advisory Institutions "Department of Government Efficiency" (DOGE), aiming to "abolish bureaucratic agencies, reduce regulations, and refo
Futu Morning Report | The US stock market party continues! The s&p 500 index has risen for seven consecutive days, setting a new historical high; Federal Reserve meeting minutes: future interest rate cuts will be cautious, and the end of monetary easing i
Market response to Trump's tariff threats: auto stocks wail, the Canadian dollar hits a four-year low, and the Mexican peso plunges nearly 3%; dell technologies drops over 10% after hours, with total net revenue for the third quarter at 24.37 billion USD, below analyst expectations.