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iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
A sneak peek at the four key points of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes.
On Wednesday, November 27th, Peking time, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the November mmf policy meeting, with market attention focused on inflation data, policy stance, economic outlook, and other contents in the minutes.
A 4.5% yield on U.S. Treasury bonds is too tempting! Traders are starting to enter the market to buy the dip.
Some analysts predict that 4.25%-4.5% will be a reasonable range for the 10-year US Treasury bond yield. If it rises to 5%, it will be time to consider increasing positions.
Options Hot Review | Cryptos Concept Stocks Rally! MARA options call rate exceeds 70%; super micro computer rebounds nearly 80% within the week! call orders are being eagerly snapped up.
After nvidia released its financial report, there was a top reversal, while the call ratio for options remains above 60%; microstrategy was hit by short sellers! The implied volatility level rose to 100%.
Great Wall Securities: patiently waiting for the end of inflation trade, usd index and US bond yields may remain strong.
In the short term, it is recommended to continue focusing on the large cap indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq 100, as well as the more elastic Russell 2000 pure value. Gold prices may experience short-term fluctuations at high levels, supported by risk aversion sentiment.
Breaking through 36 trillion USD! After more than three months, the size of US government debt has once again reached a historic high.
1. The latest data released by the usa Treasury Department shows that as of last Friday, the scale of usa national debt has surpassed 36 trillion dollars, marking the first time in history it has crossed this level; 2. It took just over three months for the usa debt to increase from 35 trillion dollars to the current 36 trillion dollars, clearly indicating an acceleration in the growth rate.
Federal Reserve officials discuss 'AI regulation': Don't act hastily!
① Federal Reserve Board member Bauman acknowledges the risks of ai, but warns that excessive regulation may limit technological development, distort competitive landscape. ② She points out that ai can improve efficiency, combat fraud, expand crediting in the financial sector, and may improve the quality of economic data, affecting monetary policy.
How "Trump 2.0" governs will depend entirely on how the U.S. stock market performs? Understand in one article.
①Trump will start his second term from January next year, and the market's response to his economic agenda is complex; ②Analysts say that the US stock market may be an important means to check Trump, and he may remain vigilant against negative market reactions.
From supporting Mans to stopping Pompeo, what makes this time more impactful is Trump's eldest son: Donald Trump Jr.!
Now, Little Donald has more influence than Secretary of State Marco Rubio.
Before Thanksgiving, the usa market will face two major tests: key inflation indicators and the Federal Reserve's November minutes.
① With Thanksgiving approaching, this week the american financial market is set to have a short trade week: the US stock market and US bonds will be closed all day on Thursday; on Friday, they will close early. ② However, from the news perspective, this short trade week may still not be calm: the minutes from the Federal Reserve's November meeting and the Federal Reserve's most favored inflation indicator, the PCE price index, will be released on local time on Tuesday and Wednesday.
The selling spree of U.S. bonds is receding! As the "anchor of global asset pricing" reaches 4.5%, traders are coming in to "buy the dip."
The U.S. bond market has stopped its volatility, with buyers eagerly chasing a 4.5% yield.
Futu Morning News | Official announcement! Trump nominates Benset to serve as usa Secretary of the Treasury; Goldman Sachs is bullish on US stocks: the s&p 500 will rise to 7000 points.
Goldman Sachs 2025 csi commodity equity index outlook: Long gold is the "Top Trade", oil & gas prices may see a "temporary uptrend"; USA PMI in November hit the fastest level since April 2022, factories increase purchases of imported inputs; USA election settled, consumer confidence lower than expected, long-term inflation expectations breaking through the range top.
Bond Market Halts Brutal Run as Buyers Pounce on 4.5% Yields
One week outlook | Fed meeting minutes with October PCE coming! Dell, Meituan performance successively revealed.
On November 28, the US stock market was closed for Thanksgiving, and on November 29, it closed three hours early; China's official manufacturing PMI for November will be announced on Saturday.
The Federal Reserve's relief plan during the pandemic is now becoming a burden for companies, with a wave of loan defaults beginning to appear.
According to media reports, although most of the total loan amount of $17.5 billion for the 'Ordinary Business Loan Program' has been repaid, as of October 31 of this year, there are still $1.23 billion in interest and principal in default. The government regulatory agency responsible for overseeing the program expects that borrowing enterprises still face two major challenges, including a massive one-time repayment of up to 70% due next year and high interest rates, leading to a significant increase in the default rate.
Beware of the debt storm! The number one financial stability risk in the Federal Reserve survey is now "it"...
The semi-annual financial stability report released by the Federal Reserve on that day showed that concerns about the sustainability of US fiscal debt topped the list in this survey, followed by escalating tensions in the Middle East and policy uncertainty. This survey was conducted by New York Fed staff between the end of August and the end of October, with respondents including professionals from brokerage firms, funds, consulting companies, institutions, and academia.
The core logic behind the rise of the US stock market: the market bets that Trump will not allow the stock market to fall!
The U.S. stock market expects that after Trump takes office, he will introduce a series of bullish policies, including significant reductions in corporate tax rates and relaxing financial regulations, which further strengthens the market influence of the "Trump put options."
The Federal Reserve: The sustainability of usa debt has risen to the number one financial stability risk, inflation threats are declining, on par with the trade war.
According to the Federal Reserve's Financial Stability Report, the survey found that more than half of the financial professionals interviewed believe that the sustainability of government debt is a prominent financial stability risk in the next 12 to 18 months, an increase of 14 percentage points compared to the last survey. The percentage of those who believe persistent inflation is a significant risk has halved to 33%. Respondents in this survey also specifically mentioned global trade risks, which did not make it onto the important risk list in the last report. Update.
Welcoming the strongest seasonal increase of the year! Goldman Sachs capital flow experts: I ordered a "S&P 7000 points" hat.
Goldman Sachs expert Rubner stated that in the U.S. election years since 1928, the rebound of the U.S. stock market typically lasts until early January of the following year and then fades before the presidential inauguration day.
The Federal Reserve will start a framework review next year, focusing not on the 2% inflation target; Powell welcomes new perspectives and critical feedback.
The two main focuses of this review are: the "long-term goals and mmf global strategy statement" as well as the policy communication tools, excluding 2% as a long-term inflation target, which may cause dissatisfaction among academia and analysts. Internal discussions among officials will begin at the FOMC meeting in January next year, and a seminar will be held in mid-May inviting external speakers. The 2020 review established a decision to allow inflation to "overshoot" for a period of time.
Official announcement! Trump nominates Besant as the secretary of the treasury in the usa. Learn more about this "Soros disciple".
① After going around in circles, Trump ultimately chose the initially most popular candidate for Secretary of the Treasury: Scott Bessen, a former 'Soros disciple' and well-known hedge fund manager. ② So, what specific labels does Bessen carry? What differences are there in policy positions between him and the previous popular candidate for Secretary of the Treasury, Walsh?