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Wall Street is 'guessing the intention': will it be a 50 or 25 basis point rate cut? The next 12 hours will reveal the answer.
If there is no media report about a 25 basis point interest rate hike before Wednesday, the possibility of a 50 basis point interest rate hike on Wednesday will increase further. The media trend in the next 12 hours is crucial and may ultimately determine market pricing.
Focus on today at 20:30! The "last important data" before the September Federal Reserve decision is coming.
Some analysts believe that if retail sales in August are too bad, the Fed may cut interest rates by 50 basis points this week.
Dow Jones, S&P equal weight, and gold all hit new highs, with expectations for a 50 basis point rate cut running high!
The market's expectation for a Fed interest rate cut continues to heat up, leading to an inflow of funds into economically sensitive industries, driving the Dow, S&P, and gold to new historic highs. Currently, traders believe there is a 64% chance of a "50 basis points rate cut."
The suspense of interest rate cuts has intensified! Market divergences before the Fed's decision.
There is a divergence in market expectations for interest rate cuts, and there may be a significant gap between pricing and actual results.
The US economy is doing well, so why start cutting interest rates? The Wall Street Journal: The Federal Reserve is facing a complex situation.
Analysts believe that after the first interest rate cut on Wednesday, the Federal Reserve's monetary policy will remain restrictive. Although it is unclear whether it can stimulate the real estate market to become active again, it is expected to encourage companies to increase equipment investment.
It's surging again! The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points this week has exceeded 50 percent.
Traders now believe that there is a higher probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September than by 25 basis points, but there is still one data that could disrupt the market before the results are announced...