Weekly Outlook | The Federal Reserve takes the lead as the last "Central Bank Super Week" of the year is approaching; China's economic data for November and important inflation data from the USA will soon be revealed.
Currently, the market widely anticipates that the Federal Reserve has a high probability of lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December, reaching as high as 97%. However, due to stronger data in November, the risk of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate cuts in early 2025 has increased, making Powell's post-meeting remarks and the latest economic forecasts crucial.
Next week will be the last "Central Bank Super Week" of this year, and 24-hour traders will have to work non-stop.
Next Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will hold its last interest rate decision meeting of the year, followed by Japan, Nordic countries, the United Kingdom... By the close of business next Friday, at least 22 central banks globally will announce their interest rate decisions, representing a total of two-fifths of the global economy.
Stock Traders Are Seeing More Reasons to Be Cautious About the Market.
Top 20 by transaction amount | Tesla's stock price has reached a historic high, with a cumulative increase of nearly 80% since the election; Broadcom surged 24% after earnings, with a Market Cap surpassing 1 trillion USD.
On Friday, the first in U.S. stock trading volume was Tesla, which rose 4.34%, reaching a historical high price, with a trading volume of 38.132 billion USD; the second was NVIDIA, which fell 2.25%, with a trading volume of 31.251 billion USD; the third was Broadcom, which rose 24.43%, with a trading volume of 26.607 billion USD, and its Market Cap surpassed 1 trillion USD.
U.S. stock market close | The Nasdaq 100 has risen for four consecutive weeks, Tesla's stock increased by over 4% reaching a new historical high, Broadcom surged over 24% after earnings with a market cap surpassing one trillion dollars.
The three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed, with the Dow Jones falling for the seventh consecutive Trade day, marking the longest losing streak since 2020, as investors expect the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of interest rate cuts next week.
IShares Russell 2000 ETF Options Spot-On: On December 13th, 1.69 Million Contracts Were Traded, With 12.74 Million Open Interest
On December 13th ET, $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM.US)$ had active options trading, with a total trading volume of 1.69 million options for the day, of which put options accounted for 46.42% of the
Major Indexes Are Trading With Mixed Results. Several Major Companies in Key Sectors Reported Earnings This Week Which May Be Weighing on Markets.
Wall Street Retreats As Treasuries Suffer Worst Week In Over A Year, Broadcom Soars, Bitcoin Rebounds: What's Driving Markets Friday?
Broadcom Posts Strong Results, Joins RH, Upstart And Other Big Stocks Moving Higher On Friday
Trump Trade Winners: Crypto, Bank Loans, MMFs, Leveraged Funds, U.S. Small-caps
Goldman Sachs: Record inflows will deliver a "Christmas gift" to U.S. stocks.
Goldman Sachs fund flow experts pointed out that thanks to Trump's victory, the inflow of funds into the US stock market over the past nine weeks reached a record 186 billion dollars.
Citigroup: The economic outlook for the USA next year is not very good, and an aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve is expected.
The Citigroup economist team, which accurately predicted the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts this year, expects that the pace of interest rate reductions next year will be much more aggressive than the market anticipates.
Chief economist of Apollo: The Federal Reserve cannot just "rely on data" but also needs to "be cautious of policies".
The chief economist of Apollo Global Management pointed out that due to economic resilience, the Federal Reserve will have to maintain high interest rates for a longer period and consider the impact of fiscal policy.
U.S. stock market early session | The Nasdaq rose slightly, reaching a new high during the session! Most Cryptos concept stocks increased, with RIOT rising by 6%.
On the evening of the 13th in Peking, the US stock market opened higher on Friday. After Broadcom released its Earnings Reports, its stock price surged, leading to a widespread increase in Technology stocks. The USA's import price Index for November was higher than expected. The market focus shifts to next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week seems very likely! The market is focusing on the latest economic forecast.
Investors generally believe that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the meeting on December 17-18, and will focus more on the new economic forecasts released by decision-makers at the same time they make their decision.
Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Higher Pre-Bell Friday as Investors Eye Third Rate Cut
Trump discusses the possibility of war between the US and Iran: anything is possible, the situation is very unstable.
① The elected President Trump of the USA stated in a recent interview that he does not rule out the possibility of war between the USA and Iran; ② According to previous media reports, Trump will continue to exert maximum pressure on Iran during his second term.
US Stock Outlook | Is the unemployment rate in the USA showing warning signs? Societe Generale warns: there will be a risk of recession next year; AI chip stocks are soaring in pre-market, Broadcom has risen over 17% after earnings.
Meta has released a new AI model that will enhance the Metaverse experience; with multiple Bullish factors combined, Taiwan Semiconductor rose over 2% in pre-market trading; Eli Lilly and Co's Mounjaro has replaced Novo-Nordisk A/S's Wegovy, becoming the new favorite weight loss drug in the United Kingdom.
Annual Review | The top ten soaring ETFs in the US stock market have been released! Cryptos ETFs surged over 210%, and Large Cap Index ETFs have become the "money-absorbing champion."
US stocks have plenty of highlights in various ETFs. These ETFs not only track the performance of various Indexes and Global Sectors, but also offer different leverage multiples for investors to choose from. Their earning potential and capital-raising capacity are both very strong, attracting attention and popularity in the market.
Will Trump be unable to achieve his goals? The tax reduction policy may not be able to drive economic growth in the USA.
Although Trump's tax reduction policy is easily accepted by voters, economists are cautious about the scale of the economic benefits that this policy can bring.