IYK Ishares U.S. Consumer Goods Etf
- 71.550
- +0.490+0.69%
Don't just focus on the polls! The trend of the US stock market is the compass for the US presidential election. Here is an investment guide for you to check out.
Analysts have found that since 1984, as long as the S&P 500 index rises accumulatively between August and October, the ruling party will win the election; on the contrary, if the S&P 500 index drops during this period, the challenger will win.
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How to counter the decline? These two companies may become a refuge for capital.
Analyst Jim Paulsen said that economic downturn obviously leads to defensive stocks outperforming the large cap, while strong economic growth instead causes them to underperform. So far this year, the stock price of defensive stock Coca-Cola has risen by about 20%, while Colgate-Palmolive has risen by over 30%.
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How do you view the recent "hawkish" stance of the Bank of Japan executives? Goldman Sachs: The next interest rate hike may still have to wait until January next year.
Goldman Sachs believes that when evaluating the timing of interest rate hikes, it is important to consider financial market stability and inflation trends. The bank predicts that January next year will be the best time to determine whether Japan's inflation will rebound, and based on this, determine that Japan will raise interest rates in January. However, if there is significant turmoil in the financial markets, the timing of the rate hike may become uncertain.
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Industry insiders: Trump's tariff plan will cause transportation costs to soar, just like in 2018.
Industry insiders in the shipping and retail industry have warned that Trump's plan to increase import tariffs after returning to the White House will cause a surge in freight prices and exacerbate inflation, just as he did when he was president before. Xeneta's data shows that after the Trump administration announced new tariffs in 2018, prices in the marine container transportation market soared by over 70%.
The first debate effect is evident! 'Harris trade' goes up, 'Trump trade' goes down. How should we trade if the situation changes?
CITIC Securities reminds that previous US elections have often been accompanied by frequent changes in the situation, such as the "email gate" incident involving Hillary in 2016, which led to a significant change in the polls. Therefore, there is still the possibility of unexpected changes in the subsequent election situation.
How to deploy a rate cut cycle? Top ten 'financial dividends and income' US stocks revealed, up more than 50% this year.
In a low-interest-rate environment, high dividends can still provide investors with stable cash flow and relatively robust returns, making it a long-term winning choice that can span cycles.
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