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Daily Bull and Bear | The Hang Seng Index night futures rose by over 1% last Friday! Inflow of 18 million Hong Kong dollars for good positions; affected by chip rumors, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation rose by over 8%, and a subscript
By the close, the market turnover was 178.5 billion Hong Kong dollars, with a total turnover of all callable bull/bear contracts at 10.7 billion Hong Kong dollars, accounting for 6.0% of the market turnover, of which the good positions accounted for 3.5% and the short positions accounted for 2.5%. In addition, the net Inflow of all callable bull/bear contracts was 0.128 billion Hong Kong dollars.
Announcement Highlights | GTJA has been approved to be the major Shareholder of HAITONG SEC's related Overseas subsidiaries; CATHAY PAC AIR's passenger carried in November increased by about 20% year-on-year.
CATHAY PAC AIR's passenger carried in November increased by approximately 20% year-on-year; Connet Optical plans to issue 53.325 million placement shares at a discount of about 19.98% to Goertek in Hong Kong, raising a net of 0.828 billion Hong Kong dollars.
Institutions: How to expect a rate cut for various Assets?
After the hawkish interest rate cut, trade related to the interest rate cut became the dominant logic temporarily, leading to a breakout of US Treasury yields and the US dollar upwards, while US stocks and Gold experienced a significant decline. However, with the approach of January 20 when Trump takes office, the impact of his policies is bound to "make a comeback". Moreover, it is believed that the current hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve is not necessarily bad for the US economy and US stocks, and there is no need to swing from the extreme of a "large interest rate cut" in September to the other extreme of "unable to cut rates" now.
Futu Morning Report | Is a sell-off signal emerging? Buffett takes the opportunity to "sweep up" Occidental Petroleum and two other companies; Tesla's latest announcement: the automated driving taxi Robotaxi is accelerating its advancement.
The "Three Witches" day caused huge fluctuations in the US stock market, as shorts covered their positions leading to a sharp rise during the day, but market volatility may continue into next week; several Federal Reserve officials supported a cautious approach to interest rate cuts next year, relying on data, while Powell's "dovish allies" rarely spoke in a hawkish tone.
Hong Kong stock market morning report on December 23: Biden signed a bill to prevent the USA government from "shutting down". The performance of China Concept Stocks shows divergence.
① Biden signed an emergency funding bill to prevent a "shutdown" of the USA government. ② The USA's November core PCE price index rose 2.8% year-on-year, which was lower than expected. ③ The three major stock indexes in the USA opened lower and closed higher last Friday, while China Concept Stocks showed mixed performance. ④ NYMEX Henry Hub Natural Gas Futures rose more than 14% last week. ⑤ Federal Reserve's Goolsbee stated that interest rates may decline within 12 to 18 months.
What do new highs in U.S. Treasury bonds and new lows in Chinese bonds mean for Hong Kong stocks?
The combination of "new highs in US bonds and new lows in Chinese bonds" has a neutral or even somewhat negative impact on Hong Kong stocks, and historical experience often reflects this.