Don't just focus on the polls! The trend of the US stock market is the compass for the US presidential election. Here is an investment guide for you to check out.
Analysts have found that since 1984, as long as the S&P 500 index rises accumulatively between August and October, the ruling party will win the election; on the contrary, if the S&P 500 index drops during this period, the challenger will win.
Taking history as a lesson! What will happen after each "50 basis points rate cut" by the Fed?
Nomura Securities pointed out that three months after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points, small cap stocks surged, value stocks outperformed growth stocks again, metal prices soared, and the yield curve steepened, indicating a bullish market trend. The Federal Reserve has previously raised interest rates by 75 basis points multiple times, so it is not surprising to start a rate-cutting cycle with a 50 basis point cut, and it may not necessarily trigger market panic.
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