Huge uncertainty! Has the US stock market already hit a "ceiling"?
A market veteran pointed out that, impacted by the election, the Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut space is limited, and US stocks are more likely to "stall."......
Daily options tracking | Up 14% after hours! Palantir pre-earnings options trading volume increased by 1.2 times; US bond etf call options made a profit of 200%, implied volatility level approaching historical highs before the election.
Nvidia rose by 0.48% yesterday, with its market cap surpassing Apple to become the global number one at one point. A big player bought calls worth 3 million USD; there are 45 million USD in put options on SPY, with big players betting on a drop in the S&P 500 by the end of the year.
USA election, who will win? The two main candidates are battling in the 'swing states', this guide for watching and trading is worth collecting!
This may determine the direction of the US economy for the next four years. This may determine the direction of the US economy for the next four years.
Taking history as a mirror: What has been the trend of the US stock market after each major election?
History shows that the stock market in the USA typically rises after presidential elections, but first, it is necessary to prepare for some short-term fluctuations.
Bernstein: Stay away from the hustle and bustle, the election is not that important to the stock market.
Renowned research institution Bernstein's founder believes that the impact of presidential elections on the market is not as great as commonly thought, and industry returns are sometimes completely opposite to expectations before the election. Fundamental factors such as earnings and valuation are more important than policy slogans.
U.S. election approaching, traders' positions reversed: net long interest rates turned net short, 'fear index' VIX turned net long.
The hold positions in VIX turned net long for the first time since 2018, but the stock market position remains net long; silver's net long position has risen to an eight-year high; in recent weeks, the US dollar position has shifted from net short to net long.