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How will the sector rotation of US stocks develop after the election? JPMorgan has provided four possible outcomes.
JPMorgan expects that the red sweep will introduce positive policies, tax cuts, and relaxed regulations in key industries such as energy, banks, industry, and transportation, while the blue sweep may not be as favorable to the stock market. It is expected that Democrats will prioritize financial measures targeting green energy, medical care reform, and potentially increasing corporate taxes.
Huge uncertainty! Has the US stock market already hit a "ceiling"?
A market veteran pointed out that, impacted by the election, the Federal Reserve's next interest rate cut space is limited, and US stocks are more likely to "stall."......
USA election, who will win? The two main candidates are battling in the 'swing states', this guide for watching and trading is worth collecting!
This may determine the direction of the US economy for the next four years. This may determine the direction of the US economy for the next four years.
Daily options tracking | Up 14% after hours! Palantir pre-earnings options trading volume increased by 1.2 times; US bond etf call options made a profit of 200%, implied volatility level approaching historical highs before the election.
Nvidia rose by 0.48% yesterday, with its market cap surpassing Apple to become the global number one at one point. A big player bought calls worth 3 million USD; there are 45 million USD in put options on SPY, with big players betting on a drop in the S&P 500 by the end of the year.
Taking history as a mirror: What has been the trend of the US stock market after each major election?
History shows that the stock market in the USA typically rises after presidential elections, but first, it is necessary to prepare for some short-term fluctuations.
Bernstein: Stay away from the hustle and bustle, the election is not that important to the stock market.
Renowned research institution Bernstein's founder believes that the impact of presidential elections on the market is not as great as commonly thought, and industry returns are sometimes completely opposite to expectations before the election. Fundamental factors such as earnings and valuation are more important than policy slogans.