usa's October PCE inflation slightly rebounded! But the market still expects the Fed to cut interest rates again in December.
The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in 2024. According to CME Group's Federal Reserve Watch tool, the market anticipates a 67% chance of a rate cut at the December meeting.
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Bull market continues! Morgan Stanley looks at the US stock market in 2025: reaching 6,500 points by the end of next year, with high-quality cyclical stocks as the top choice.
Daiwa believes that the s&p 500, represented by high-quality stocks, will benefit from the Fed's rate cut cycle, stabilization of business indicators, policy mix, and uncertainty in economic data. However, considering that specific policies have not yet been introduced, U.S. stocks have been severely overbought, and next year's market is unlikely to "rise in a straight line," the key will be to see the Trump administration's measures in cutting fiscal spending.
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Express News | The Nasdaq 100 index fell by 1%, with nvidia and intel both falling more than 3%.
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U.S. stocks early market | Core PCE has the largest increase since April of this year! Spot gold briefly dropped; quantum computing concept stocks are booming! QUBT and RGTI rose by 10%, and Quantum once triggered a circuit breaker.
The market continues to focus on Trump's tariff policy and cabinet composition. The actual GDP growth rate of the United States in the third quarter slowed down compared to the second quarter.
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Express News | In October, the core PCE price index in the usa increased by 2.8% year-on-year, marking the largest increase since April 2024.
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