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The Federal Reserve's model 'alarmed' for the first time in ten years, are U.S. stocks overvalued?
MarketWatch regular contributor Mark Hulbert stated that, according to the Federal Reserve model, the current market conditions are unfavorable for the stock market. However, there is no need to worry because the reference value of the Federal Reserve model is limited. However, this does not mean that the U.S. stock market is not overvalued, investors may have other reasons to be concerned about the future prospects of the stock market.
6500 points! Wall Street's 'former big short' firmly calls the US stock market, and provides these investment recommendations.
Morgan Stanley's Chief Investment Officer Michael Wilson has set a target price of 6,500 points for the S&P 500 index by the end of 2025, a 10.3% increase from the current level. Wilson believes that the Fed rate cuts, improving economic growth, and potential deregulation by the Trump administration should make investors bullish on the stock market.
It can still rise by 10%! Goldman Sachs has raised the target price for the s&p 500 index for next year.
According to goldman sachs' baseline forecast, the economy and corporate profits in the usa will continue to grow, thereby boosting the stock market.
As US bond yields soar, how much longer can the US stock market party last?
Currently, there are no signs of a bear market in the US stock market, but the surging yields on US Treasury bonds may become a turning point for the situation. Bank of America Merrill Lynch states that when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5%, investors tend to shift from the stock market to the bond market, limiting the rise of US stocks. This yield has climbed by 80 basis points since mid-September, although the bank indicates that the current interest rate risk is manageable.
The second largest net inflow of capital since 2008! Investors go all in on US stocks
According to EPFR data, in the week up to last Wednesday, US stock etf and mutual funds attracted nearly 56 billion dollars in inflow, marking the second largest weekly inflow record since 2008. These funds have attracted inflow for seven consecutive months, marking the longest duration since 2021.
Investors are betting on a rise in US stocks! Analysts warn: the market is dangerously optimistic.
The animal spirits of U.S. stock investors are exceptionally active, but analysts indicate that the "market has become very expensive."