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Institutions: How to expect a rate cut for various Assets?
After the hawkish interest rate cut, trade related to the interest rate cut became the dominant logic temporarily, leading to a breakout of US Treasury yields and the US dollar upwards, while US stocks and Gold experienced a significant decline. However, with the approach of January 20 when Trump takes office, the impact of his policies is bound to "make a comeback". Moreover, it is believed that the current hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve is not necessarily bad for the US economy and US stocks, and there is no need to swing from the extreme of a "large interest rate cut" in September to the other extreme of "unable to cut rates" now.
Gold Weekly Review: The intertwining of the Federal Reserve's hawkish policies and geopolitical risks, can the gold price hold its support?
Recently, the Gold market has experienced complex fluctuations. Although gold prices rose after the latest inflation data from the USA was released, they still could not avoid the downward pressure this week. Spot gold closed at $2622.56 per ounce on December 20, marking a weekly decline of 0.98%. The pullback of the dollar and US bond yields provided some support for gold, but the hawkish policy expectations of the Federal Reserve continue to suppress gold prices, leading to more cautious market sentiment. Fundamental Analysis shows that the slowdown in inflation, according to the USA's latest November PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) data, has brought short-term support to the gold market.
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A major market trend is about to unfold! Be aware of the USA PCE inflation Indicators that could cause Gold prices to "change the game". Latest Trade analysis on Euro, British Pound, Japanese Yen, and Gold.
On Friday morning in the European market, the USD maintained a mild downward trend during the day, currently around 108.25; spot Gold maintained a strong rebound trend, with the current gold price at 2604 USD/ounce. Analysts pointed out that if the USA PCE inflation data, especially the core Indicators, exceeds expectations, the USD may strengthen, thereby impacting major non-USD currencies and causing the gold price to decline again.
Gold prices have suddenly surged in the short term! The gold price just touched 2605 US dollars. With heavyweight data arriving, how to trade Gold?
On Friday afternoon in the Asian market, spot Gold suddenly surged rapidly in a short time, with the price reaching 2605 USD/ounce, an increase of over 10 USD for the day. FXStreet Analyst Haresh Menghani wrote that the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance is Bullish for the USD and may limit the rise in Gold prices. Traders are now looking to the USA PCE Price Index for new momentum.
Gold Trade Reminder: The inflation indicators most favored by the Federal Reserve may ignite the market! Analysis of the technical outlook for Gold by FXStreet's Chief Analyst.
On Friday during Asian trading, spot Gold remained essentially stable, with the gold price currently around $2596 per ounce. FXStreet's chief Analyst Valeria Bednarik stated that the outlook for Gold remains bearish, with a price target below the low of $2580 per ounce.