Oversupplied Markets for Commodities Are Setting the Stage for Lower Returns Next Year - BofA
Steel Stocks Rise as Goldman Takes Positive View; Likes Cliffs, Commercial Metals, Nucor
Bank of America's outlook for the bulk market in 2025: Tariffs cast a shadow over the global market, crude oil enters an oversupply cycle, with gold shining alone, soaring straight to $3,000.
Bank of America Merrill Lynch expects that due to a significant increase in production from non-OPEC countries, coupled with the possibility of OPEC+ releasing more supply, the crude oil market may enter a surplus cycle, with the average annual price of Brent crude oil expected to be $65 per barrel. Basic metals are experiencing price fluctuations amid differentiated supply and demand. Driven by macroeconomic uncertainty and risk aversion sentiment, gold remains one of the most attractive precious metals in 2025.
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The Trump economic team may have internal discord, and the key agenda still needs the "understanding king" to make the final decision!
Analysts state that the Trump team's characterization of the economic policy as 'the opponent team' is almost accurate, and the strong opposition between Besant and Lutnik has been publicly reported.
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U.S. Steel, Aluminum Prices Likely Would Rise If Trump Hikes Tariffs - WSJ
The Trump Cabinet 2.0 "Dream Team" is unveiled! Understand the economic views of the officials in one image.
The major team of Trump's Cabinet 2.0 has gradually taken shape, characterized by: first, loyalty is prioritized, and overall policy inclination is largely consistent with Trump; second, many candidates come from the business and financial sectors; third, the attitude towards China is generally tough.
French miners lament that the profitability of nickel mining business cannot be achieved without china technology and equipment.
① The multinational mining giant Ehmann stated that western companies cannot make a profit in the nickel mining business in Indonesia without relying on china's technology, equipment, and management experience; ② Ehmann and BASF have canceled the 2.6 billion dollar nickel-cobalt refining plant project in Indonesia due to it being 'economically unfeasible'; ③ Ehmann is collaborating with China’s Qingshan Holding to operate the nickel mine in Weda Bay, with the CEO stating that china's technology, expertise, and equipment are key to competitiveness.
If inflation resurges, gold, crude oil product, and copper will likely not withstand it.
Since the usa election, gold, crude oil product, and copper have all declined. If Trump 2.0 brings inflation back, resisting inflation will not be easy.
A visual overview of the Trump 2.0 policy timeline! What investment opportunities are worth paying attention to?
Analysis indicates that Trump 2.0's policy may still be within the framework of 1.0, but the pace may accelerate, and domestic and foreign policies may become more assertive. Trump may be more firm in practicing the "America First" principle, implementing tougher immigration and trade policies.
A former Federal Reserve governor is leading the pack as a popular candidate for treasury secretary, but can Trump's political views be accepted?
① The key candidates for Trump's cabinet are gradually being determined, but the selection for the Secretary of the Treasury remains undecided, raising market curiosity and anxiety; ② The possibility of former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Walsh becoming the Secretary of the Treasury has rebounded, with his nomination probability reaching 49% at one point; ③ The market believes that Walsh's election could alleviate concerns about the cooperation between the Federal Reserve and the Treasury in providing government funding.
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Boosting inflation weaken the economy? Trump's tariff policy harshly criticized by Morgan Stanley.
①Morgan Stanley's Chief Global Economist Seth Carpenter stated that Trump's proposed tariffs will lead to higher inflation and weaken the economic growth of the usa; ②If the tariff policy is eventually implemented, Carpenter believes that it will significantly weaken the growth of the usa by 2026; ③Many economists have questioned Trump's tariff policy, suggesting that it may trigger global trade frictions.
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Wall Street has begun to pay attention to tariff issues, and concerns about the return of inflation are intensifying.
Investors are closely monitoring the potential impact of the Trump administration's global trade policies on the stocks market.
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