PSQ ProShares Short QQQ
- 35.740
- -0.110-0.31%
Weekly Outlook | A crucial week for China Assets is coming! Earnings Reports from Chinese concept stocks like Alibaba are set to be announced; the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes are about to be released; Musk will officially announce the new generation
The number of initial jobless claims in the USA for the week and the February S&P Global PMI data will be released soon; the US stock market will be closed for one day on Monday; the Hang Seng Index Company will announce the results of the fourth quarter Hang Seng Index quarterly review on Friday, February 21, 2024.
DeepSeek has sparked an unprecedented wave of AI applications! The market increasingly believes in the 'bull market narrative' of Software stocks.
With the significant decrease in AI training costs led by DeepSeek, as well as the sharp drop in token costs on the inference side, AI agents and generative AI Software are expected to accelerate their penetration into various industries.
A large bet has appeared in the Options market: the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield is expected to exceed 5%!
If the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasuries rises above 5% within the next five weeks, traders placing this bet will earn returns exceeding 10 million dollars...
U.S. stock market in the early session | The three major Indexes are all rising, and Chinese concept stocks are making a strong attack! Kingsoft Cloud surged over 22%; most AI stocks rose, Super Micro Computer increased by over 10%.
On the evening of October 14, Peking time, US stocks opened mixed on Friday. After President Trump postponed the imposition of new reciprocal tariffs and suggested there is still room for negotiation, investors continue to assess the latest situation in global trade. US retail sales in January declined more than expected.
A shocking surprise! The USA's "terrifying data" unexpectedly plummeted in January.
The slowdown in many categories indicates that, in addition to blizzards and fires, there may be other factors affecting Consumer spending.
Eggs have become a "barometer," adding more variables to the Federal Reserve's battle against inflation.
Analysis indicates that although the rise in egg prices is influenced by Bird Flu, consumers may internalize and infer the idea that overall inflation will not decrease, and consumer inflation expectations have begun to rise. Economists warn that if the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates too early, it may repeat the recession of the 1970s. Therefore, the Federal Reserve has no choice but to keep interest rates at a high level for a longer period.
U.S. Stock Market Preview | Retail data falls short of expectations! High-performing stocks soar in pre-market trading, Airbnb and Roku rise over 14%; Chinese concept stocks and ETFs celebrate wildly, Kingsoft Cloud increases over 15%, YINN rises over 8%.
Accelerating AI localization! Reports indicate that Apple plans to introduce a domestic version of Apple Intelligence before the middle of the year; it is said that Arm will launch self-developed chips, having already secured Meta as one of its first customers; Wells Fargo & Co: the USA economy is expected to grow strongly this year, but the S&P 500 is unlikely to continue the "myth" of more than 20% growth for three consecutive years.
U.S. Stock Market Outlook | All three Equity Index futures are down, retail data is coming tonight.
On February 14th (Friday) in Pre-Market Trading, the three major U.S. equity index futures all declined.
Daily Options Tracking | Bulls support NVIDIA's stock price rise! Big players are buying up Call Options; AI + Medical stock HIMS welcomes major Bullish news! One Call option made a 15-fold profit on the premium.
Intel surged over 7% overnight, and the stock price has risen for four consecutive trading days, accumulating over 26%. The Volume of Options Trading surged to 1.73 million contracts, ranking third in individual stock options trading volume in the US. The Call ratio accounts for 75%, as bulls support the rising stock price.
Quick Q&A: What do we know about Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" policy?
① "Reciprocal tariffs" are not just about matching import tariffs, but a complex policy rate that considers multiple factors; ② Overall, emerging economies with higher tariffs and more market access restrictions will be more significantly affected; ③ In the face of inevitable trade retaliation measures, global trade and the USA economy will endure immense pressure.
Futu Morning Report | Trump signs a significant "reciprocal tariff", which may take effect on April 2! Bridgewater reduced its shareholding in Apple and NVIDIA in the fourth quarter and established a new position in Tesla.
Trump signed an order to implement reciprocal tariffs, which may start on April 2; the U.S. PPI year-on-year growth rate is at a new high in nearly two years; Apple is reportedly continuing to collaborate with Baidu to develop AI features for iPhone users in China; UBS Group's benchmark list: Cambricon against NVIDIA, Xiaomi against Tesla, Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation against Taiwan Semiconductor.
Trump signed an order to implement reciprocal tariffs, which may take effect on April 2.
① Trump signed a presidential memorandum on Thursday, proposing the implementation of reciprocal tariffs; ② Nominee for U.S. Secretary of Commerce, Rutnick, predicted on Thursday that the new tariffs would take effect on April 2.
U.S. stock market close: PPI boosts market sentiment, three major Indexes all rise, with the Nasdaq up 1.5%.
① The S&P 500 Index rose by 1%, while the Nasdaq increased by 1.5%; ② Large Technology stocks all rose, with NVIDIA up over 3%; ③ Chinese concept stocks varied, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up by 1.20%; ④ Apple is reportedly continuing to work with Baidu to develop AI features for iPhone users in China in order to diversify risks.
Goldman Sachs executives: This is my last email this quarter expressing a Call for US stocks.
Scott Rubner, a strategist at Goldman Sachs and Managing Director of Global Markets, stated that the USA stock market is about to face a wave of bearish attacks. The current market is becoming increasingly crowded, and the motivation to Buy the dip is weakening, nearing negative seasonal factors. Rubner suggests paying attention to some tactical Put trade strategies.
U.S. stock market morning | The three major Indexes rose collectively, with Intel increasing by over 10%; high-performing stocks soared across the board, with Applovin rising over 33% and Dutch Bros rising over 32%.
On the evening of the 13th Beijing time, US stocks opened higher on Thursday. January's PPI in the USA exceeded expectations, and combined with Monday's CPI data, it confirmed the rising inflationary pressures in the USA, further weakening market expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. Trump announced plans for reciprocal tariff policies, raising market concerns that this move will further escalate tensions in global trade.
US Stock Outlook | Trump might unleash the "reciprocal tariff" strategy today! PPI data exceeded expectations, and all three major futures indexes fell; high-performing stocks soared in pre-market trading, with Applovin rising over 29%.
Cisco's pre-market stock rose over 6%, aiming for a new high, with second-quarter performance exceeding expectations by $15 billion in buyback plans; the U.S. government deficit is once again flashing red! The deficit for the first four months of the fiscal year reached a record $840 billion, surpassing the peak during the pandemic; is global oil going to be tight? The IEA has significantly cut excess supply estimates, escalating the U.S.-Russia-Iran game.
Worried about the roller coaster of the US stock market, Wall Street is scrambling to hedge tail risks.
As the uncertainty of Trump's policies spreads, both retail investors and Institutions are scrambling to buy Options to guard against the surge in stock market volatility...
J.P. Morgan remains focused on large technology giants in Q4! A big purchase of Broadcom and Tesla, while reducing shareholding in Microsoft and Google.
According to the disclosure by the USA Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), JPMorgan submitted the Form 13F for the fourth quarter Hold Positions ending on December 31, 2024.
Daily Options Tracking | Tesla ends a five-day decline in daily lines! Large investors made two Sell transactions on put options at the Resistance; Alibaba's volatility has risen to a high level, with multiple call options doubling significantly.
It is rumored that the USA government is promoting a joint venture between Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel surged over 7% overnight, with a Call ratio reaching 76.8%. Call options are being eagerly sought after, with the highest Volume being for the 20 USD strike price Call expiring on January 16, 2026, where nearly 0.07 million options were traded yesterday, and over 0.06 million options remain open.
"The shadow of Trump" looms over the Global Q4 Earnings Reports season with the high-frequency term: tariffs!
① The impact of Trump's tariff policy is significant, becoming a hot topic in the Global Earnings Reports season for Q4, mentioned by 50% of S&P 500 constituents; ② Goldman Sachs predicts that a 5 percentage point increase in tariffs could lead to a 1%-2% decline in earnings per share for the S&P 500 Index; ③ European companies are also affected, with Siemens Energy, Ahold Delhaize Group, and others expecting tariffs to result in price increases.