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ProShares Short QQQ Newsroom
Weekly Outlook | The Federal Reserve takes the lead as the last "Central Bank Super Week" of the year is approaching; China's economic data for November and important inflation data from the USA will soon be revealed.
Currently, the market widely anticipates that the Federal Reserve has a high probability of lowering interest rates by 25 basis points in December, reaching as high as 97%. However, due to stronger data in November, the risk of the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate cuts in early 2025 has increased, making Powell's post-meeting remarks and the latest economic forecasts crucial.
Next week will be the last "Central Bank Super Week" of this year, and 24-hour traders will have to work non-stop.
Next Wednesday, the Federal Reserve will hold its last interest rate decision meeting of the year, followed by Japan, Nordic countries, the United Kingdom... By the close of business next Friday, at least 22 central banks globally will announce their interest rate decisions, representing a total of two-fifths of the global economy.
Top 20 by transaction amount | Tesla's stock price has reached a historic high, with a cumulative increase of nearly 80% since the election; Broadcom surged 24% after earnings, with a Market Cap surpassing 1 trillion USD.
On Friday, the first in U.S. stock trading volume was Tesla, which rose 4.34%, reaching a historical high price, with a trading volume of 38.132 billion USD; the second was NVIDIA, which fell 2.25%, with a trading volume of 31.251 billion USD; the third was Broadcom, which rose 24.43%, with a trading volume of 26.607 billion USD, and its Market Cap surpassed 1 trillion USD.
U.S. stock market close | The Nasdaq 100 has risen for four consecutive weeks, Tesla's stock increased by over 4% reaching a new historical high, Broadcom surged over 24% after earnings with a market cap surpassing one trillion dollars.
The three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed, with the Dow Jones falling for the seventh consecutive Trade day, marking the longest losing streak since 2020, as investors expect the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of interest rate cuts next week.
U.S. stock market early session | The Nasdaq rose slightly, reaching a new high during the session! Most Cryptos concept stocks increased, with RIOT rising by 6%.
On the evening of the 13th in Peking, the US stock market opened higher on Friday. After Broadcom released its Earnings Reports, its stock price surged, leading to a widespread increase in Technology stocks. The USA's import price Index for November was higher than expected. The market focus shifts to next week's Federal Reserve meeting.
The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut next week seems very likely! The market is focusing on the latest economic forecast.
Investors generally believe that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the meeting on December 17-18, and will focus more on the new economic forecasts released by decision-makers at the same time they make their decision.
Trump discusses the possibility of war between the US and Iran: anything is possible, the situation is very unstable.
① The elected President Trump of the USA stated in a recent interview that he does not rule out the possibility of war between the USA and Iran; ② According to previous media reports, Trump will continue to exert maximum pressure on Iran during his second term.
US Stock Outlook | Is the unemployment rate in the USA showing warning signs? Societe Generale warns: there will be a risk of recession next year; AI chip stocks are soaring in pre-market, Broadcom has risen over 17% after earnings.
Meta has released a new AI model that will enhance the Metaverse experience; with multiple Bullish factors combined, Taiwan Semiconductor rose over 2% in pre-market trading; Eli Lilly and Co's Mounjaro has replaced Novo-Nordisk A/S's Wegovy, becoming the new favorite weight loss drug in the United Kingdom.
Annual Review | The top ten soaring ETFs in the US stock market have been released! Cryptos ETFs surged over 210%, and Large Cap Index ETFs have become the "money-absorbing champion."
US stocks have plenty of highlights in various ETFs. These ETFs not only track the performance of various Indexes and Global Sectors, but also offer different leverage multiples for investors to choose from. Their earning potential and capital-raising capacity are both very strong, attracting attention and popularity in the market.
Daily Options Tracking | Broadcom surged over 14% before the market opens! Multiple Call orders are being placed in advance; the popularity of the Bitcoin mining company RIOT suddenly increased! The Options market is bullish up to 20 dollars.
Overnight, the Nasdaq fell from its historical Top Reversal, and major Technology stocks in the US generally declined, with a decrease in trading activity in the Options Chain. NVIDIA dropped over 1%, with Options Volume falling to 2.7 million contracts, while the Call ratio slightly decreased to 66.6%. On the Options Chain, the Calls expiring today with strike prices of $140/$138/$137 were the most popular, each with a Volume of over 0.11 million contracts.
Can global central banks transition from draining to releasing liquidity, allowing the stock market to surge again?
If the drying up of liquidity has not posed a significant obstacle to the market this year, will the improvement of liquidity next year become a tailwind for driving the market?
Criticism from two Democrats: Musk's Government Efficiency Department is "doomed to fail."
In the view of Democrats, Musk's DOGE Department of Government Efficiency is destined to fail because it focuses on the wrong objectives, employs the wrong methods, and has leadership issues. They believe that if DOGE wants to make a contribution, it should abandon its absolute monetary goals and instead focus on improving the Institutions' efficiency of government projects.
The short sellers in the US stock market have almost all turned bullish! Now only two Institutions remain bearish.
Wall Street is generally optimistic about the US stock market in 2025. Will these two Institutions become the "right minority"?
The Fed Is Poised to Cut Rates Next Week. But 2025 Is Another Matter
The Federal Reserve needs to be cautious, as Trump's tariff policy may cause a "permanent shock" to the CPI!
BNP Paribas stated that Trump will implement his tariff policy, and the Federal Reserve's inaction along with a stronger dollar is expected to suppress Gold prices in the second half of 2025.
Capital is accelerating Inflow, the scale of Global ETF has surpassed 15 trillion dollars, and active and leveraged ETFs are becoming new favorites.
In this wave of inflow, the USA is at the center, attracting over 1 trillion dollars as traders bet on a strong rebound of Wall Street Stocks. According to research institution ETFGI, this growth is mainly due to investors' massive shift from mutual Funds to ETFs, primarily active ETFs, leveraged ETFs, and those focused on government and CSI Enterprise bond Index debt.
Trump's new move! Seeking to reduce or eliminate Banks regulatory Institutions, supporting USA dockworkers.
In the financial sector, there are reports that Trump's advisers are seeking to reduce or eliminate Banks regulatory Institutions.
Interest rate cuts! Global central banks are competing to prepare for Trump 2.0, summarizing the monetary policy tone of the G10 central banks in one article.
On Thursday, the policymakers of the European Central Bank, Swiss Franc Central Bank, and Danish Central Bank all announced interest rate cuts; this undoubtedly instills confidence that they may continue to adopt easing policies in the coming year to mitigate the impacts of unknown factors such as trade tensions and geopolitical-induced currency fluctuations.
Futu Morning News | The Central Economic Work Conference has set the tone! Next year, the fiscal deficit rate needs to be increased; Broadcom soared over 15% after hours! Q4 profit exceeded expectations.
Inflation unexpectedly accelerates! In November, the USA PPI month-on-month growth rate reached the highest increase since June; AI transformation faces challenges! Adobe's performance forecast fell short of expectations, dropping more than 13% after the earnings report.
Is there a crack in the bull market? The rise of the US stock market is too concentrated, raising concerns about being 'top-heavy'.
The S&P 500 Index's record uptrend shows signs of cracking, with most components declining.