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Goldman Sachs warns: If Iran's oil supply is disrupted, oil prices could soar by $20!
Goldman Sachs' global commodity research co-head stated that if Iran experiences a continuous daily production decline of 1 million barrels, it is expected that next year the oil price will peak at around $20 per barrel.
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If Haruk Island is attacked, it will take several months to repair the facilities even in the best case scenario. About 90% of Iran's exports go through these ports. In the event of such a situation, it is expected that oil prices will immediately surge by more than 10% and continue to rise.
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Oil prices rise more than 5%! Is Israel going to attack Iranian oil facilities? Biden: Currently discussing.
Analysts believe that the oil market is not vigilant enough about the imminent major supply disruptions. With Israel potentially planning retaliatory attacks against Iran, possibly targeting its oil infrastructure, this prospect could impact bearish energy market participants. Analysts believe that the ultimate impact on global oil supply-demand balance and prices depends on the extent of Israel's response, and whether they see any actual damage to Iran's oil industry.
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Breaking news! 15 fierce attacks, over 50 rockets, a large hole blown in the hangar... Middle East situation escalating, "full-scale war about to break out".
The tension in the Middle East has escalated.
Israeli soldiers were ambushed by Hezbollah! The military reported the first soldier killed in ground operations in Lebanon.
①Israel bombed the Lebanese capital Beirut again in the early hours of Thursday local time, resulting in at least six deaths; ②Prior to this, the Israeli army had just encountered the heaviest casualties in a year of conflicts between Lebanon and Israel on the southern border of Lebanon; ③The Israeli Defense Forces confirmed for the first time that eight soldiers were killed in ground military operations against Lebanon.
OPEC+ maintains its plan to increase production starting in December. Saudi Arabia warns that failure to comply with the production cut agreement could cause oil prices to drop to $50.
Saudi Arabia named Iraq and Kazakhstan, these two countries have not fulfilled the production cut agreement. According to some delegates, the message from Saudi Arabia is that if there is no room in the market, increasing production is meaningless, and some people are better off stopping. Other oil-producing countries interpret Saudi Arabia's latest statement as a tacit threat, that if other countries do not adhere to the production cut agreement, Saudi Arabia is willing to launch a price war to protect its market share.
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