Employment data are all declining! The proponent of the "Sam Rule": the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points this week.
The proponent of the famous decline warning indicator 'Sam rule', Sam, said on Tuesday that the softness of the labor market may make the Fed worried, leading to a 50 basis points rate cut at this week's interest rate meeting; Sam pointed out that there are quite a lot of labor market data running in one direction, and it's not good, the Fed has been very supportive of its dual mandate to achieve the goal of maximizing employment.
Express News | Market Analysis: The Federal Reserve may disappoint extreme dovish investors.
Futu Morning News | Rate cut countdown! US stocks continue to break records; Bank of America: Long the seven giants of US stocks is still the most crowded trade.
"New美联储通讯社": The situation is complex, and there are still doubts about the magnitude of the Fed's first rate cut; if the Fed's first cut is done "properly", the record-breaking betting on a significant rate cut may face huge risks; Apple's iPhone 16 series pre-order sales in the first weekend fell short of expectations, analysts: the long-term outlook remains optimistic.
Top 20 transaction volume | Microsoft rose nearly 1%, planning to buy back up to 60 billion US dollars and increase dividend; Walmart fell more than 2%, has cleared all the shares of Dada holdings.
Microsoft, the top trading volume in the US stock market on Tuesday, fell by 1.02%, with a trading volume of $26.993 billion. Tesla, the second place, rose by 0.48%, with a trading volume of $15.367 billion. Apple, the third place, rose by 0.22%, with a trading volume of $9.84 billion.
US stocks in early trading | The three major indexes rose collectively, Chinese concept stocks and technology stocks strengthened collectively, Li Auto Inc rose nearly 9%, Tesla rose over 3%.
USA retail sales exceeded expectations in August, indicating that the consumer situation in the USA remains healthy. The Federal Reserve will begin its two-day monetary policy meeting today and announce the meeting results tomorrow. Wedbush brokerage stated that AI stocks like Nvidia will benefit from the Fed's rate cut.
Does this scene of the Fed seem familiar? Traders turn back the script of 1995.
Traders are optimistic that the Federal Reserve will achieve a soft landing reminiscent of 1995, but it is worth noting that the presidential election could overturn this historical experience.