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US stock market preview | Three major futures show mixed trends, Apple falls more than 2% before the market; Has the expectation of interest rate cuts changed again? Multiple senior central bank journalists speak out: There should be a 50 basis point rate
Trump Media Technology Group's pre-market rose nearly 2%, Trump suspected of being targeted for "assassination attempt" again; Intel pre-market rose more than 1%, news said it received a $3.5 billion subsidy to produce chips for the U.S. military; U.S. stocks survived the "summer storm", but this time it all relied on "S&P 493".
The US stock market survived the "summer storm", but this time it relied entirely on the "S&P 493".
Since mid-July, the seven major technology stocks in the US stock market have fallen by 5.3%, while the S&P 500 index has fallen by less than 1%. The rise of other companies outside the 'Big Seven' has offset most of the decline in technology stocks, with the real estate and utilities sectors both rising by 11%.
After two reports shook the market last week, another senior central bank journalist has spoken out: interest rates should be cut by 50 basis points!
Senior reporter Greg Ip believes that the current actual short-term interest rate has reached 3.2% to 3.5%, while the "neutral" actual interest rate range considered by the Federal Reserve officials is only 0.5% to 1.5%. The Federal Reserve should start cutting interest rates in July. If this time they only cut by 25 basis points, and if there are more weak data released in the future, the Federal Reserve will fall further behind market expectations.
Critical moment! Trump suspected of another assassination attempt, Harris: Absolutely intolerable!
On Sunday Eastern Time, US Republican presidential candidate Trump encountered a "suspected assassination attempt" at his golf club in West Palm Beach, Florida. After the incident, Trump is currently unharmed, and the suspect has been arrested. The FBI is investigating. Just 9 weeks ago, Trump narrowly escaped another assassination attempt.
Futu Express | Will the Fed's 'first cut' be fifty-fifty on the scale? This week will reveal the answer; the rate cut expectations trigger a 'golden tsunami'! Gold continues to refresh its highs.
Consumer confidence in the United States has risen to a new high since May, but remains cautious. For the first time in history, hedge funds have a net short position on Brent crude oil. Will the AI boom turn around? S&P Global predicts that NVIDIA's stock price could rise for at least another year.
Week Ahead: Highly anticipated! The Federal Reserve interest rate decision is coming; Microsoft and Nvidia CEOs will take the stage one after another.
The Bank of England and the Bank of Japan are expected to stand pat, with expectations and outlooks being the focus of attention; US retail sales month-on-month, Japan's core CPI, China's LPR, etc. will be released one after another; FedEx will announce its performance after Thursday's closing bell; Hong Kong stock market is closed on Wednesday.