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U.S. stock market close | The Nasdaq rose 1.2%, driven by the Technology conference CES which boosted chip stocks, NVIDIA and Taiwan Semiconductor hit record closing highs; most China Concept Stocks declined, with Tencent ADR falling nearly 8%.
① Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 1.16%, most China Concept Stocks fell, Tencent ADR dropped nearly 8%; ② MicroStrategy has purchased Bitcoin for nine consecutive weeks; ③ Trump denies plans to reduce the applicability of tariffs; ④ Qualcomm announces the launch of the new AI chip Snapdragon X.
Signals of Trump 2.0 going for deregulation? The Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve in charge of financial regulation will resign early after Trump takes office.
According to the Federal Reserve's statement, Barr's resignation will take effect no later than February 28, and he will continue to serve as a Federal Reserve Governor until the term ends. The statement implies that he is stepping down as Vice Chairman of Supervision more than a year early to avoid potential legal disputes with the Trump administration. The media reports that Barr's decision does not indicate that Powell will also step down from the position of Federal Reserve Chairman early, but it casts a shadow over the prospects of the USA implementing new banking regulations that increase capital requirements.
The Federal Reserve issued a rare direct warning to the U.S. stock market, with Governor Cook stating that market valuations are excessively high and may face a significant correction.
Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook issued a rare direct warning to the stock market on Monday.
A Federal Reserve official stated: future rate cuts need to be cautious!
Cook believes that the interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve so far have significantly reduced the restrictiveness of the MMF policy.
U.S. stock market morning | The three major indexes collectively rose, with the S&P and Nasdaq both increasing by over 1%; AI Concept stocks surged, with Super Micro Computer rising over 11% and Micron increasing by more than 10%.
On the evening of June 6th, Peking time, U.S. stocks opened higher on Monday. Media reports indicated that Trump would narrow the scope of the import tax, but Trump stated that the report was false. After Fujifilm Holdings Corporation Unsponsored ADR announced its Earnings Reports, the chip Sector surged, driving up Technology stocks. The U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bonds Yield rose to its highest level since 2023.
U.S. Stock Market Outlook | The three major Futures indices are rising, with Nasdaq Futures up over 1%. AI chip stocks and Robot Concept are strong in pre-market trading, Taiwan Semiconductor is up nearly 5% hitting a new high, and KITT surged over 60%.
Goldman Sachs: Currently expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 basis points this year, lower than the previously expected 100 basis points; Trump 2.0 raises inflation concerns, traders are Bearish on this year's USA bond market outlook; two Federal Reserve officials have expressed hawkish views: the fight against inflation has not yet achieved victory.
Will Trump's policies trigger inflation in the USA? Former FED Chairman Bernanke: The impact is limited.
① Investors are concerned that Trump's proposed policies will ignite inflation in the USA and disrupt the Federal Reserve's interest rate-cutting process; ② In the view of former Federal Reserve Chairman Bernanke, Trump's policies will not lead to a fundamental change in inflation in the USA.
The USA stock market struggles to stop falling, the employment report becomes a highlight, and Technology stocks face an important week: get the early insight on this week's economic data.
In the first week of 2025, the stock market in the USA has been experiencing a significant decline.
Daily Options Tracking | USA Electric Vehicle stocks soared! Tesla jumped over 8% last Friday, with a large investor betting 14 million dollars on the upside; Tesla's rival Rivian surged 24%, with several call options expiring this Friday earning more tha
NVIDIA surged over 4% last Friday, with several out-of-the-money Call Options expiring this Friday making more than 1.5 times the investment.
The first "non-farm payroll super week" of the New Year: Is Wall Street ready?
① Wall Street traders will focus on the first non-farm night of the new year, hoping that Friday's December non-farm report can show that the USA job market is stable without overheating, thereby supporting expectations for a rise in the stock market in 2025; ② In addition, the release of the Federal Reserve minutes and speeches from several Federal Reserve officials are also expected to attract attention this week.
The theory of American exceptionalism is expected to continue driving US stocks and the dollar in 2025.
Respondents believe that Trump's policies will drive economic growth in the USA, with the US stock market and the dollar being the biggest beneficiaries, but differing opinions highlight that Trump's established policies are expected to have a double-edged effect on the economy and the market.
Futu Morning Report | The "Spring Festival Gala of the Technology Industry" CES 2025 is coming this week! NVIDIA has become the market focus; big investment! Microsoft plans to invest 80 billion USD to build Datacenters.
CES will kick off from January 7 to 11 in the USA, Las Vegas. NVIDIA is expected to announce its latest developments in AI, including the highly anticipated GeForce RTX 50 graphics card; in the Industry sector, AI and Autos are expected to continue thriving, while Siasun Robot&Automation, displays, and smart home appliances are also focal points of attention.
The US stock market starts off tumultuous in 2025. Will the "January effect" reappear?
A popular theory suggests that the USA stock market often sees higher gains in January compared to other months.
Institutions: Who will cool down the "epic rise" of the dollar?
How much longer can the dollar rise? Is Trump really "not worried"?
Two senior officials from the Federal Reserve emphasized that the battle against inflation has not yet been won.
Federal Reserve Governor Waller and San Francisco Fed President Daly stated that the 2% inflation target must be achieved, while also continuing to pay attention to the state of the labor market.
A week ahead | Major economic data from China and the United States is coming one after another! The Federal Reserve's meeting minutes and strong non-farm payrolls are on the way; focusing on the 2025 CES Consumer Electronics Show, the U.S. stock market w
At the beginning of the New Year, the Hong Kong IPO market is thriving, with eight new stocks being offered across the year-end, including Bruker, Conch Materials, Saimo Technology, and Yibin Banks.
The "January effect" in the U.S. stock market: Truth or myth?
The data supports this strategy, but also indicates that its effectiveness has weakened in recent years. As for 2025, the driving factors behind last year's high returns in the U.S. stock market still exist, but there are also some concerns.
The first Federal Reserve official this year stated: it is difficult to determine the impact of Trump's policies, and MMF policy will depend on economic data.
Federal Reserve Board member Kugler stated, "There is a view that we can slow down and adopt a more gradual approach" while observing data to determine whether stubborn inflationary pressures will begin to ease again. She also mentioned that the current economic situation is good, and although the job market has cooled somewhat, it remains resilient with the unemployment rate at historically low levels.
The Federal Reserve's voting members have undergone significant changes! Two "hawkish" voters, one "dovish" voter, and one Neutral voter have arrived. What impact will this have?
The Federal Reserve is about to undergo significant adjustments.
Will USA manufacturing "revive its glory" by 2025? Bank of America predicts that the US stock market will benefit from this.
① Ohsung Kwon, a securities strategist at Bank of America, expects that the U.S. manufacturing sector is likely to revive by 2025, boosting the overall U.S. stock market; ② Bank of America forecasts that the S&P 500 Index will close at 6666 points by the end of 2025, an increase of about 14% from the current level; ③ Trump's second term is expected to promote policies supporting manufacturing activities, potentially increasing the trend of companies returning.