The second largest net inflow of capital since 2008! Investors go all in on US stocks
According to EPFR data, in the week up to last Wednesday, US stock etf and mutual funds attracted nearly 56 billion dollars in inflow, marking the second largest weekly inflow record since 2008. These funds have attracted inflow for seven consecutive months, marking the longest duration since 2021.
Investors are betting on a rise in US stocks! Analysts warn: the market is dangerously optimistic.
The animal spirits of U.S. stock investors are exceptionally active, but analysts indicate that the "market has become very expensive."
China International Capital Corporation: Trump 2.0 accelerates economic recovery, with ckh holdings and small cap styles favored.
The recovery of the fundamentals will continue to drive the cyclical sectors such as discretionary consumer goods, capital goods, and raw materials, and before the implementation of Trump's tariffs, it will be bullish for the relevant domestic export sectors (seizing exports).
How long can the "Trump rally" in the US stock market last? Bank of America lists three major risks.
① Bank of America lists three major risks that could undermine the rise of the US stock market since Trump's presidency; ② These risks are economic recession, implementation of trade plans, and rising bonds yields.
A new round of trade war dubbed "Trump 2.0" may trigger global economic turmoil! However, Wall Street firmly believes that U.S. stocks will never decline.
Trump's "scorecard" is the s&p 500 index, which is the biggest hope for bullish strength in Wall Street; Strategists generally say that the next USA president will not at least harm the market with economic plans.
The risk of the Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates in December is increasing, and U.S. Treasury yields have erased gains for 2024.
Due to traders preparing for the return of Trump and the possibility of the Fed slowing down its rate cuts, the US bond market's nearly two-month downturn has almost erased this year's gains.