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ETF tracking | Volatility double long ETF rose by 16%; Leveraged long ETF for super micro computer plummeted over 70% in two days
On Thursday, October 31, the three major stock indexes in the United States all fell. The s&p 500 index closed down 108.22 points, a decrease of 1.86%, to 5705.45 points. The October cumulative decline was 0.99, ending the continuous rise since May. The dow jones industrial average fell 378.08 points, a decrease of 0.90%, to 41763.46 points. The October cumulative decline was 1.34%, ending the uptrend since May. The nasdaq composite index, mainly composed of technology stocks, also closed lower.
Every Options Tracking | Nvidia plunged nearly 5% overnight, a put contract made nearly 3 times the profit; bears still hold the upper hand! The 'audit storm' of the super micro computer continues to ferment, multiple put contracts doubled.
Pre-market up over 5%! Intel's Q3 datacenter revenue exceeded expectations, with options volume surging 110% to 0.71 million contracts, implied volatility rising to the highest percentile level within the year. Looking at the options chain, the most active trades are calls expiring on December 20 with strike prices of $25 and $30, both trading over 0.02 million contracts.
Tonight, be prepared to face extreme winds and heavy rain: in the most extreme case, will non-farm payrolls turn negative?
① As the United States presidential election is approaching in four days, and the Federal Reserve's November decision is just six days away, tonight's release of the October non-farm payroll data in the USA is undoubtedly expected to attract the attention of all market participants; ② The unpredictability of this highly anticipated non-farm report seems destined to be the biggest of the year; ③ In the most extreme scenario, non-farm payrolls may even show a negative value.
Trump and Harris Plans Could Stoke Inflation. That Means a More Hawkish Fed
Hawkish signals hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts? Tonight's non-farm data may provide the final clue for the Fed's actions next week.
Strong non-farm data will enhance the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to possibly pause rate cuts early next year.
Election night trading guide: key time points, key focus points, will there be any delays?
Goldman Sachs recently released a research report stating that the market has overestimated the risks of uncertainty caused by delayed election results. Goldman Sachs indicated that the speed of counting votes in this election may accelerate, and it may not be as close as reflected in the polls. The trading in the financial markets may reflect the election results on the evening of the election day or the next morning, with the key results of the county-level elections becoming the focus of the market. Although there may be some fluctuations in the first few hours of the election night, it will soon return to normal levels.