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Wall Street investment banks are concerned that interest rates cannot be lowered next year, but the Federal Reserve seems to think otherwise.
① Although the tense situation between Russia and Ukraine continues to attract safe-haven bids for US bonds, the overall US bond market has still not been able to reverse the recent weak trend, largely due to the market's lack of confidence in the Fed's upcoming rate cut process; ② However, compared to the highly pessimistic outlook of market participants on rate cuts at the moment, recent statements from Fed officials seem not as hawkish.
US stocks early trading | Some cryptos concept stocks rose, CleanSpark surged over 5%, MSTR rebounded nearly 4%; super micro computer rose over 12% again, accumulating over 80% in the past six trading days.
On the evening of the 22nd in peking time, all three major stock indexes are likely to record gains this week. The market continues to focus on signs of sector rotation from technology stocks to cyclical stocks.
US stock preview | Outstanding stocks collectively celebrate! AI search company Elastic soared 26% pre-market, Gap rose over 15%; Reddit fell nearly 7% pre-market, Tencent shareholding reduction.
Musk: The Optimus siasun robot&automation can be priced at $0.02-0.03 million, but annual production needs to exceed 1 million; Reddit fell nearly 7% in pre-market trading, impacted by Tencent's shareholding.
Breaking news! Is the "shadow chairman of the Federal Reserve" coming soon?
USA Treasury Secretary nominee Yellen is expected to be nominated as the next Chairman of the Federal Reserve. Analysis suggests that the 'shadow chairman' may intervene in the direction of monetary policy ahead of the official assumption of office in 2026, conveying Trump's 'low interest rate' inclination, exacerbating the risk of soaring inflation. At the same time, the Federal Reserve Chairman does not have complete decision-making authority over policy rates, which may also make the monetary policy outlook more uncertain.
Daily options tracker | Attacked by short sellers! MSTR's implied volatility soared to 211%, reaching a new high for the year; Nvidia options trading volume nearly doubled, with the call/put ratio rising to 66.2%.
Performance exceeded expectations! Snowflake rose by over 30%, with the call ratio soaring to 69%. The volume of options increased by 2.36 times month-on-month to 0.677 million contracts; on the options chain, the highest volume of call options at a strike price of $175 reached 0.028 million contracts, followed by the call option with a strike price of $180 expiring next Friday, with a volume of 0.023 million contracts.
Trump is considering letting Walsh serve as Treasury Secretary first, and then as Chairman of the Federal Reserve.
Some informed sources indicate that Trump is considering appointing Bessent to lead the White House Economic Council. If Powell becomes the chairman of the Federal Reserve, Trump will nominate Bessent to be the Secretary of the Treasury later in his term.