Non-farm payrolls greatly exceeded expectations, "no more interest rate cuts this year" enters Wall Street discussion.
After the non-farm payroll data was released, the expectation for the Federal Reserve's future interest rate cuts in the next four meetings is less than 100 basis points. Wall Street veteran Ed Yardeni believes that the Fed's monetary easing policy for the year may have already come to an end, considering the market's aggressive rate-cut pricing, any additional easing policy could increase the probability of a stock market crash.
September's strong non-farm employment pusher behind the scenes: Before the election, record seasonally adjusted and "civil servant" positions.
The seasonal adjustment amplitude in September has refreshed the highest record, while excluding the abnormal values after the outbreak of the new crown epidemic in June 2020. This is also the largest monthly increase for government workers on record.
U.S. stock market morning session | September non-farm payroll data far exceeded expectations, with the three major indices opening higher before falling back slightly; most technology stocks rose, with AMD, tesla, and amazon up more than 2%.
As of press time, the Dow rose by 0.63%, the Nasdaq rose by 1.03%, and the s&p 500 index rose by 0.68%.
US stock market outlook: US September non-farm data higher than expected! Three major futures indicators surge in a straight line; will Chinese concept stocks continue to climb? Morgan Stanley: If short positions cover, it will push up the upward trend.
Bank of America: China stock fund saw the second highest inflow scale in history in the past week; European Central Bank Governing Council: inflation is under control, concerns arise as labor market cools down; spirit airlines plunged 33% before the market, the company is discussing potential bankruptcy application terms.
Is the market dovishness too loud? Non-farm will be a key element of the expected adjustment!
The market is more dovish than the Federal Reserve, and ultimately both sides will have to adjust their expectations. Tonight's non-farm payrolls report is a key data point.
The major strike at the ports in the USA has finally come to an end! Democrats can finally breathe a sigh of relief during this critical election period.
①On Thursday (October 3rd) local time, dock workers in the usa announced the end of a three-day strike; ②The temporary agreement reached by both labor and management includes a 62% salary increase for workers over the next six years; ③The end of the strike has eased the public's panic and also eliminated a potential political issue for Vice President Kamala Harris's campaign.
US Stocks Gold Rush | Silicon Valley giants speak up again for AI power usage! Nuclear power stocks VST, CEG both hit record highs; Middle East tensions ignite fuel prices, valero energy, marathon petroleum surge over 5% overnight.
In terms of leading giants hitting new highs in the US stock market, Meta rose 1.74% to the top of the rankings, exxon mobil rose 0.87%, and Fidelity Financial Services rose 0.5%.
After England and Japan took turns releasing pigeons, the situation in the Middle East became unstable. On the eve of non-farm payrolls, the US dollar has risen for four consecutive sessions!
Forex broker XTB's research director Kathleen Brooks said, "The strong risk of the September non-farm payroll report could lead to greater than usual fluctuations in the US stock market and the US dollar, with increased safe-haven sentiment and the US non-farm payroll report, it is a combination that can easily cause market turbulence."
Futu Morning Post | Fund managers are entering the Chinese stock market at a record speed! The 'China Dragon' ETF lands in the US stock market; foreign capital accelerates its positions! Morgan Stanley increases its shareholding in BYD and other companies
The size of the USA money market fund has reached a record $6.46 trillion; Biden's vague stance has sparked an energy storm, causing international oil prices to soar by over 5%; just after raising funds, OpenAI secured a $4 billion credit line, with liquid assets exceeding over $10 billion.
U.S. stock market morning session | Nasdaq, S&P turned from decline to rise intraday; semiconductor sector strong increase, nvidia, AMD rose nearly 4%
As of the press time, the Dow Jones fell by 0.24%, the Nasdaq rose by 0.20%, and the s&p 500 rose by 0.02%.
USA's initial jobless claims rose slightly last week, showing continued resilience in the job market.
In the usa, the number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in the week ending September 28 was 0.225 million, a slight increase of 6000 people from the previous week, lower than the expected 0.221 million, and lower than the previous value of 0.218 million.
The Fed leads the way! The global rate cut pace is starting to accelerate significantly
①The latest statistics in the industry show that led by the Federal Reserve, central banks of developed economies implemented the largest scale interest rate cuts since the outbreak of the new crown epidemic in September; ②Among the G10 central banks that convened interest rate meetings in September, five of them lowered their benchmark interest rates in that month.
US stock market outlook: Three major futures indexes narrowed their pre-market declines, with most Chinese concept stocks weakening; Goldman Sachs is once again 'rooting' for the S&P! US stocks will see a big rise at the end of the year.
The Fed leads the way! The global rate cut pace is beginning to accelerate significantly; ongoing strikes at US ports lead to a sudden increase in inflation risks; Berkshire Hathaway plans to issue yen bonds for the second time this year, analysts say Buffett may be eyeing financial and shipping stocks.
Powell is not in a rush to cut interest rates quickly, but his patience is about to be tested!
Analysts believe that due to the complexity caused by strikes and hurricane damage, there will be two significant 50 basis point rate cuts in November and December.
US Stock Discovery | Chinese concept stocks continue to rise! Bilibili has more than doubled in the year to reach a new high, while Alibaba, jd.com, and ke holdings have all risen by over 50%.
In terms of stocks hitting record highs, bilibili rose by 10.96%, ranking first on the list, trip.com rose by 7.05%, h world group rose by 6.69%.
The ongoing strike at ports in the USA has led to a sudden increase in the risk of rising prices.
Ports along the east coast of the USA and the Gulf of Mexico have entered the third day of a dock workers' strike, causing unloading interruptions and potentially resulting in commodity shortages.
Futubull Morning Post | Chinese concept stocks continue to surge! Triple long on the FTSE China ETF, soaring nearly 22%; Huang Renxun makes a big statement! Blackwell chip demand "crazy".
Raising the bullish flag! Goldman Sachs reiterates its optimism on the stock market in china and states that the S&P may break through 6000 points by the end of the year; Q3 deliveries fall short of expectations! Tesla drops more than 3%; Institutions: Net inflow of foreign capital into Hong Kong stocks since mid to late September amounts to 39.6 billion Hong Kong dollars, surpassing southbound funds.
US stock market outlook | The three major equity index futures all fell, while Chinese concept stocks continued to soar before the market opened! Ke Holdings surged more than 12%, with a threefold increase in long positions in FTSE China ETF soaring 21%.
Goldman Sachs sees global hedge funds pouring into China, with an inflow of $2.4 billion in three days; the Chinese stock market surges, causing short sellers to lose nearly $7 billion, further boosting Chinese concept stocks; Nike withdraws its full-year performance guidance, dropping more than 5% in pre-market trading.
U.S. Stock Market Prospecting | Is the sky the limit? Chinese concept stocks continued to surge overnight! Ke Holdings soared more than 17% in a single day, while Futu nearly doubled within the year.
In terms of major players hitting record highs in the US stock market, alibaba rose 6.24% to the top of the list, lockheed martin rose 3.64% to second place, and rtx corp rose 2.67& to third place.
US stock market early market | The three major indices all fell, with the Nasdaq falling nearly 1%, apple falling nearly 3%; Chinese concept stocks strengthened against the market trend, ke holdings rose nearly 5%, li auto inc rose nearly 4%
On the evening of the 1st Beijing time, US stocks opened lower on Tuesday. Powell's remarks on Monday dispelled market bets on another significant rate cut. This week, the market will focus on September non-farm payrolls and other economic data to further determine the Fed's interest rate outlook.