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ProShares UltraPro Short Dow30 ETF Newsroom
U.S. stock market morning session | Tesla surged more than 8%, with a market cap exceeding $1.1 trillion; Xiaomi ADR soared 5% after earnings, with Q3 revenue reaching a record high of $92.5 billion.
On the evening of October 18th, Beijing time, the market this week is focused on the earnings reports of several important companies including nvidia, as well as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut policy and the outlook for the US stock market after the elections.
U.S. Stock Market Outlook | Expectations of interest rate cuts sharply cooling! Nomura: It is expected that the Federal Reserve will hit the pause button on interest rate cuts in December; Tesla pre-market trading surges nearly 7%! The Trump administratio
nvidia fell more than 2% in pre-market, as the Blackwell chip has a 'heating issue'; super micro computer rose over 10% in pre-market, as the company plans to submit a compliance plan to avoid (delisted) risk.
Daily options tracking | Trump's assistance? Tesla rose more than 8% in pre-market trading, with a large single l bet on the rise last Friday; Palantir hit a new all-time high! Multiple call options made over 9 times profit.
Super micro computer surged over 17% in pre-market today, following reports that the company will submit a compliance plan to avoid (delisted) risk. The stock rose over 3% last Friday, with implied volatility soaring to 219.62%, reaching its highest level of the year, and call options saw a surge in demand, accounting for 44% of the total. On the options chain, among the expiring contracts this Friday, the call with a strike price of $23 had the highest volume, reaching 6,000 contracts.
What signal? Buffett's cash position has been increasing year after year, surprisingly coinciding with the trend of the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
Recently, the 'Stock God' Buffett once again 'cleaned out' stocks, which has attracted high market attention. The latest quarterly report shows that Berkshire continues to reduce its stock holdings, with the company's cash reserves reaching a historical high of $325.2 billion, an increase of 17.4% from $276.9 billion at the end of the second quarter.
As US bond yields soar, how much longer can the US stock market party last?
Currently, there are no signs of a bear market in the US stock market, but the surging yields on US Treasury bonds may become a turning point for the situation. Bank of America Merrill Lynch states that when the 10-year US Treasury yield exceeds 5%, investors tend to shift from the stock market to the bond market, limiting the rise of US stocks. This yield has climbed by 80 basis points since mid-September, although the bank indicates that the current interest rate risk is manageable.
Will Trump's presidency lead to a resurgence of inflation in the USA? Charles Schwab: Investors should be wary of four major signs.
①Charles Schwab strategists predict that although overall inflation in the USA is cooling down, the downward path will be "volatile"; ②They point out that there are four major signs that may indicate intensifying inflationary pressures in the economy, and investors need to be cautious.
The second largest net inflow of capital since 2008! Investors go all in on US stocks
According to EPFR data, in the week up to last Wednesday, US stock etf and mutual funds attracted nearly 56 billion dollars in inflow, marking the second largest weekly inflow record since 2008. These funds have attracted inflow for seven consecutive months, marking the longest duration since 2021.
From "Trump frenzy" to concern: The prospect of a "soft landing" for the US economy is being threatened!
① Nobel laureate in economics Joseph Stiglitz indicated that the usa is experiencing a soft landing, but Trump's policies may end this situation; ② Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius pointed out that broad imposition of high tariffs could severely impact economic growth; ③ Chief global economist Jennifer McKeown from Capital Economics acknowledged the upward risks of inflation.
Investors are betting on a rise in US stocks! Analysts warn: the market is dangerously optimistic.
The animal spirits of U.S. stock investors are exceptionally active, but analysts indicate that the "market has become very expensive."
China International Capital Corporation: Trump 2.0 accelerates economic recovery, with ckh holdings and small cap styles favored.
The recovery of the fundamentals will continue to drive the cyclical sectors such as discretionary consumer goods, capital goods, and raw materials, and before the implementation of Trump's tariffs, it will be bullish for the relevant domestic export sectors (seizing exports).
A new round of trade war dubbed "Trump 2.0" may trigger global economic turmoil! However, Wall Street firmly believes that U.S. stocks will never decline.
Trump's "scorecard" is the s&p 500 index, which is the biggest hope for bullish strength in Wall Street; Strategists generally say that the next USA president will not at least harm the market with economic plans.
Futu Morning Post | Suspense Rising Again? Risk of no rate cut by the Fed in December increases, US bonds erase gains for 2024; Foreign giants are making moves! Chinese concept stocks become new targets for additional investment.
BoA's Hartnett: Investment market turning point before inauguration in January, allocating to US bonds, Chinese and European stock markets, gold; 'Most lethal' US Health Secretary nominee, vaccine stocks plummeting for consecutive days; DJT's major shareholder perfect timing to completely reduce shareholding, missing out on 'sudden fortune and wealth'.
One Week Outlook | NVIDIA Faces Financial Report "Big Test"! May Guide the U.S. Stock Market to the Next Direction; Trump 2.0 Continues to Disturb the Market, Key Cabinet Positions Become Market Focus.
Companies such as Xiaomi, pdd holdings, Xiaopeng autos, and Kuaishou will also gradually release their reports.
Wall Street investment banks consensus: The Federal Reserve will slow down interest rate cuts in 2025.
Several institutions have already started to reduce their bets on the prospect of Fed rate cuts.
"Trump 2.0" crucial treasury secretary dispute, Musk publicly spoke out! Is the support of certain individuals leading to a major sell-off on Wall Street this week?
Wall Street powerful broker Lutnick seems to have lost the opportunity to compete, prompting Musk to openly support stating that Lutnick can "truly bring change," and stating that competitor Bessent will "continue to lead the usa towards bankruptcy." With Lutnick expressing interest in the position of Treasury Secretary, the market has seen selling, seemingly indicating to Trump that Bessent is more suitable.
U.S. stocks have plummeted significantly; what has stifled the "Trump trade"?
With the political outlook in the USA no longer as certain as the market expected a few weeks ago, and inflation still relatively high, investors have no safety margin to seek.
Weekend Reading | Fireside chat with top investor Greenblatt, about index investing, the seven giants, and long-short strategies...
Find a good company, make sure the price is reasonable when buying, it will appreciate over time.
US stocks plummeted, with the Nasdaq 100 giving back much of its gains since the US election results were announced. What happened?
Us stocks plunged, the yen and US Treasury bonds rose, and Trump's trade saw a major reversal. Well-known financial journalist Nick Timiraos, known as the 'New American Fed Communication Agency', wrote that US stocks fell on Friday despite strong retail sales reports released earlier, suggesting that the strong performance of the US economy may not need to be supported in the form of rate cuts. In addition, some Federal Reserve officials have stated that it is too early to determine whether the Fed should cut rates at the next meeting.
U.S. stock market closes | Expectations of a substantial interest rate cut have put pressure on U.S. stocks, with the Nasdaq down over 2%, nvidia down over 3%, and Tesla rising over 3% against the trend; some Chinese concept stocks are up, with jd.com ris
Vaccine stocks, moderna, fell over 7%; applied materials dropped over 9%, dragging down chip stocks. The Chinese concept stocks rebounded, while Alibaba fell over 2% after its earnings report.
Trading Volume TOP20 | "AI Bull Stock" palantir soared more than 11%! Announced the transfer to nasdaq for listing; Cryptos concept stocks generally rose, Coinbase up nearly 10%
On Friday, Tesla, the top trading volume in the U.S. stock market, closed up 3.07%, with a turnover of 36.387 billion U.S. dollars. Nvidia, ranked second, fell by 3.26%, with a turnover of 35.606 billion U.S. dollars.