Short positions are about to vanish! The s&p 500 index hold positions are "completely one-sided".
Citigroup pointed out that the position of the Standard 500 index has reached a new high for the fourth consecutive week, and more and more short sellers are surrendering. In contrast, the european stock index has been in a net short position for several weeks, with 100% of the bulls in a losing state.
Wall Street's highest target price released! Wells Fargo & Co: s&p 500 expected to reach 7007 points by the end of next year.
On Tuesday, wells fargo & co stock strategist Christopher Harvey and his team released the target level of 7007 points for the s&p 500 index by the end of 2025; This is the highest target price given by mainstream Wall Street investment banks, indicating that the s&p 500 index is expected to rise by about 16% by the end of next year.
Has the market made a choice? Bank of America: Trump may be more important than non-farm payrolls!
Bank of America's latest report advises investors: Don't place too much emphasis on Friday's non-farm payroll data...
Trump has finally compromised! The transition team has signed the official background check agreement with the Department of Justice in the USA.
① The team of USA's incoming president Trump has reached an agreement with the Department of Justice, allowing the FBI to conduct background checks on the nominee and members of the transition team, to support the government transition; ② This agreement was originally planned to be signed on October 1, but the Trump team was reluctant to sign it, slowing down the entire process; ③ Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense, Pete Hegseth, may become the focus of the background check as he has been accused of sexual assault and alcohol abuse.
Futu Morning Post | South Korea's president announced 'emergency martial law' late at night, stirring up the market; high-performance stocks collectively celebrate after hours! Marvell Technology, salesforce surged more than 10%.
Will the interest rate be cut in December? The Fed's voting members this year are "doing Tai Chi": regardless of cutting or not, interest rates should continue to decline; Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs again! Apple has risen for seven consecutive days to create a new historical high; Palantir rose nearly 7% to create a new historical high again, with the company's cloud computing service receiving a "highly authorized" certification.
The Nasdaq index reached a new high, French stocks rose, the south korea etf narrowed after a 7% drop, and the offshore yuan briefly fell below 7.31 yuan.
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol abruptly declared a state of emergency, boosting safe-haven assets such as U.S. Treasury bonds, Japanese yen, and gold, while cryptos on the South Korean exchange plunged. The South Korean parliament quickly passed a resolution to lift the state of emergency, with the Ministry of Finance and the central bank actively working on market rescue measures. After a 2.7% drop to a two-year low, the won’s decline was cut in half, South Korean etfs fell by 1.6%, and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds turned to increase after hitting a new low in over a month. France is set to vote on dissolving the government as early as Wednesday, with French stocks following European markets upward, although they had previously declined during the day. The Dow Jones, small cap stocks, and semiconductor indices fell, while the China concept index once rose by 1.9%. The yuan hit a new low in a year during the day, and U.S. oil rose nearly 3% testing the $70 mark.
U.S. stocks in the early market | The three major indexes showed mixed results, with the Nasdaq rising slightly, most AI concept stocks increasing, palantir up over 5%, and super micro computer up over 8%.
peking time on the evening of the 3rd, the US stock market opened with mixed gains and losses on Tuesday. US stock trade enters the end of the year, with both the s&p 500 index and the Nasdaq hitting record highs yesterday. This week, the market is focusing on the US November non-farm employment data and the Federal Reserve's interest rate path issue.
US stock market outlook | Can it rise 4% more this year? JPMorgan expects the S&P index to reach a maximum of 6,300 points by the end of the year; the donald trump concept is back again! PSQ Holdings surged by 130% in pre-market trading.
Tesla's year-end target is approaching, with a further decline in deliveries in China; Has the US stock market rally peaked? The 'fear indicator' suggests there is still room for growth; Renowned valuation experts recommend buying the 'magnificent 7' technology giants during market adjustments.
US Stock Gold Mining | Black Friday trade continues to explode! Demand for upgrades stimulates apple to regain the global market cap top spot; retail stocks walmart and costco reach new highs collectively.
The 'audit scandal' ends? Super Micro Computer soared nearly 29% overnight! After external review found no improper behavior, the company replaced its CFO; Advertising agencies The Trade Desk may merge with streaming platform Roku, with the former's stock price reaching a new high, while the latter surged 11% in one day.
Every day options tracking | China assets etf call options heavily bought; super micro computer stock price skyrocketed, call orders earned 4 times more
Apple rose nearly 1% yesterday, with its stock price surpassing its historical high, reclaiming the top position in global market cap, as a major investor bought 4,000 call options expiring on September 19, 2025, involving an investment of 4.38 million dollars.
Will the Federal Reserve lower rates in December? This week's non-farm data is crucial.
Citi stated that Friday's non-farm payroll report will be crucial for the Federal Reserve's recent policies and future direction. If employment data is strong and inflation strengthens in November, the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes at the December FOMC meeting; conversely, there is a possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Citi analyst Andrew Hollenhorst mentioned in a report on December 2 that, according to Powell's latest views, the usa labor market has not stabilized and is still softening. This indicates that the current policy rate is restrictive and the labor market will not be a source of inflationary pressure. This is in contrast to the current market sentiment.
Top economists: Next year, the "big hot" in the US stock market will change! Is the high-return gold period over?
Wharton School professors said, "Perhaps this time, we will see the hot stocks that have performed exceptionally well in the past two years relatively weak."
Is the usa experiencing a "CEO layoff trend"? The number of CEOs leaving this year has reached a record high.
①Last Sunday and Monday Eastern Time, both intel and Stellantis' CEOs announced their resignations, highlighting a wide trend in the entire business sector in the usa - the "layoff tide" of CEOs.②The number of CEO resignations in the usa has reached a record high this year, with more than 1800 CEOs announcing their resignations as of October, indicating an increased risk appetite and a desire for leaders to address the complex business environment and turn the company's situation around.
A once-in-a-century event! U.S. stocks are expected to rise more than 20% for two consecutive years, and Wall Street is betting on new highs by the end of the year.
① On Monday this week, the s&p 500 index set a new record, and Wall Street investment banks predict that U.S. stocks will continue to rise by the end of the year; ② If the s&p 500 index continues to rise this month, it will have increased more than 20% for two consecutive years, a scenario that has only occurred three times in the past century.
Technology remains the preferred sector! Ubs group outlook on US stocks in 2025: these four sectors are most likely to rise
① Analysts at ubs group suggest that investors allocate to technology, finance, industry, and utility stocks; ② Analysts indicate that technology remains the preferred sector, with expected gains next year likely to exceed large cap.
Futu Express | Three senior officials from the Federal Reserve speak intensively! They maintain an open attitude towards the interest rate decision in December; the Nasdaq and S&P hit new highs together, with Morgan Stanley predicting the S&P will reach 6
Central bank: Starting from the statistics of January 2025, the newly revised narrow mmf (M1) statistical caliber will be applied; the USA ISM manufacturing data is better than expected, with weak demand but signs of easing; the increasing burden of USA debt raises concerns about fiscal sustainability.
Fed officials "signal": Powell tends to cut interest rates in December, but warns that the anti-inflation process may "stall".
Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that he is currently inclined to continue lowering interest rates in December, but would consider pausing if inflation data unexpectedly rises and changes his forecast for inflation trends. Regarding whether to support a rate cut in December, this year's voting member and Atlanta Fed President Bostic mentioned that he is open to the decision-making for December; although the data has fluctuated, inflation is continuing to decline towards the 2% target.
U.S. stock outlook | Most china concept stocks are rising before the market opens, with miniso soaring by 16%; Bank of America’s 2025 investment strategy is here! Bullish on small cap stocks.
Tesla rose 1.8% in pre-market trading, starting to launch the latest version of FSD, V13.2; the small cap drone stock UMAC surged over 21% in pre-market, with Trump's eldest son joining the company's advisory board; the record rise in the US stock market lays the foundation for an increase in December, and market sentiment is optimistic.
BofA Merrill Lynch's Hartnett Outlook 2025: Q1 US Dollar, US stocks, Q2 non-US stocks, gold and commodities for the whole year, US bonds bottoming at 5%.
Hartnett advises to take a chance in 2025, buy 'usa prosperity' in Q1, especially small cap stocks; buy non-US stocks in Q2, betting on Europe/Asia moving towards easing; inflation may rise higher than expected, bullish on csi commodity equity index, US bond yields reaching 5% is a huge opportunity, buy chinese stocks to hedge the AI bubble.
Entering the Christmas month! The Christmas market may continue to drive the U.S. stock market to new highs, with these sectors expected to become the "hottest opportunities"
Historically, in the seven trading days after Christmas, which include the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year, investors tend to be more bullish, with a high probability of an uptrend in the U.S. stock market. This seven-day period is known as the 'Santa Claus rally.' Data shows that over the past 70 years, there has been an 80% chance of the S&P 500 index rising during these seven trading days.