Interest rate cuts! Global central banks are competing to prepare for Trump 2.0, summarizing the monetary policy tone of the G10 central banks in one article.
On Thursday, the policymakers of the European Central Bank, Swiss Franc Central Bank, and Danish Central Bank all announced interest rate cuts; this undoubtedly instills confidence that they may continue to adopt easing policies in the coming year to mitigate the impacts of unknown factors such as trade tensions and geopolitical-induced currency fluctuations.
Annual review | The top ten explosive stocks in the US stock market for 2024 have been released! Applovin emerges as the dark horse of the year in AI, MSTR astonishes the market with a fivefold increase for the year, and Tesla makes a comeback in the last
As of the market close on December 11, the S&P 500 Index has risen by 27% year-to-date, surpassing 6,000 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index has accumulated a rise of over 33%, reaching a milestone of 0.02 million points, exceeding market expectations.
Futu Morning News | The Central Economic Work Conference has set the tone! Next year, the fiscal deficit rate needs to be increased; Broadcom soared over 15% after hours! Q4 profit exceeded expectations.
Inflation unexpectedly accelerates! In November, the USA PPI month-on-month growth rate reached the highest increase since June; AI transformation faces challenges! Adobe's performance forecast fell short of expectations, dropping more than 13% after the earnings report.
Is there a crack in the bull market? The rise of the US stock market is too concentrated, raising concerns about being 'top-heavy'.
The S&P 500 Index's record uptrend shows signs of cracking, with most components declining.
"Person of the Year" Trump rings the opening bell at the NYSE, emphasizing that "the stock market is everything."
On December 12, the elected President Trump was named Time Magazine's Person of the Year for 2024, ringing the opening bell at the NYSE that day; Trump rang the bell with the CEO of ICE and the CEO of Time Magazine, along with the president of the NYSE, while the CEOs of companies such as Goldman Sachs and Citigroup were present; Trump promised an "unprecedented economy," planned to increase oil drilling to reduce inflation, and committed to lowering the corporate tax rate to 15%.
Inflation unexpectedly accelerated! The USA's November PPI month-on-month growth rate achieved the largest increase since June, according to interpretations from Wall Street.
With the rise in food costs, inflation in the USA unexpectedly accelerated in November. The PPI increased by 3% year-on-year, exceeding expectations, marking the largest increase since February 2023, and a month-on-month increase of 0.4%, the highest since June. The significant rise in egg prices overshadowed more moderate cost increases in other areas. The relatively mild increases in other categories suggest that the price indicators favored by the Federal Reserve will also see mild growth. Economists generally believe that this week's CPI and PPI inflation data are basically benign, still pointing to sufficient cooling of inflation.
From the perspective of Fed Governor Waller, CPI indicates that inflation is moving in the wrong direction.
According to the so-called Waller rule, the breadth of inflation is increasing.
U.S. stock market morning | The three major indexes weakened slightly, Adobe fell over 12% after earnings; popular China Concept Stocks rose against the trend, with MINISO up more than 5%.
On the evening of December 12, Peking time, US stocks opened mixed on Thursday. Adobe's Earnings Reports were disappointing, leading to a sharp decline in stock price. The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the USA unexpectedly increased last week, and the PPI for November rose more than expected. The European Central Bank cut interest rates for the fourth time this year.
US stock market outlook | The three major futures indices show slight weakness, with both PPI and initial jobless claims data exceeding expectations; poor earnings guidance leads to Adobe dropping over 10% in pre-market trading.
Central Economic Work Conference: Implement more proactive and effective macro policies to expand domestic demand; not swayed by CPI, the U.S. bond market is more concerned with employment data; The Kroger rose more than 2.4% in pre-market trading and announced it would repurchase 7.5 billion dollars in stocks after the merger deal with Albertsons Companies fell through.
Daily Options tracking | Google surged for two consecutive days! The highest increase for call options was nearly 14 times; Tesla's stock price reached an all-time high, and Options trading continued to be explosive.
NVIDIA rose over 3%, with Options trading on that day reaching 3.1893 million contracts, and the proportion of Call Options has been increasing for several days, currently at 68.5%. Among these, the Call Options with a strike price of $140 expiring on December 13 had the highest Volume, with 0.269 million contracts traded.
The worst start to a new fiscal year! The budget deficit in the USA is soaring.
Government spending in the USA has surged, and Musk's government efficiency department is expected to accomplish great things, but any cuts to spending could provoke resistance...
US Stock Market Gold Mining | Five major Technology giants soar together! Tesla joins hands with Google, Amazon, and others to create historical highs; Broadcom jumps over 6%, partnering with Apple to produce AI Chips, the market focuses on tonight's perf
Unexpectedly turned a profit, GameStop's performance exceeded Wall Street expectations, soaring over 7% after the announcement; semiconductor materials and equipment company Astera reached a new high, with an increase of 240% since going public this year.
The "Wall Street Oracle" predicts that the U.S. stock market will rise then fall next year, with Trump and Musk posing risks for the decline.
① Tom Lee, the co-founder of Fundstrat, known as the "Wall Street Oracle," predicts a mid-year target of 7000 points for the S&P 500 Index in 2025, with a year-end target of 6600 points, reflecting an overall increase of 8%. ② He believes that supporting factors for the US stock market next year include interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and Trump's tax cut policy, but Musk's Government Efficiency Department and Trump's tariffs may hurt the USA GDP.
Trump is reportedly going to ring the bell at the NYSE today; what does this signify?
① According to media reports, the USA's incoming president Trump will go to the NYSE on Thursday to ring the opening bell and deliver a speech; ② There are reports that Trump will be named Time Magazine's Person of the Year for 2024, but this has not yet been confirmed by Time; ③ Since Trump's announcement of victory, the three major US stock indices have risen repeatedly, with the market encouraged by promises of tax cuts and deregulation.
Futu Morning Post | Pushing US Stocks to Reach New Highs? Trump will ring the opening bell for the NYSE on Thursday; star tech stocks hit new highs, and Bitcoin will rise to 0.1 million dollars
The AI transformation was bumpy, and Adobe's revenue outlook for 2025 fell below expectations, falling more than 8% after the market; Apple launched Siri integrated with ChatGPT, and it is reported that the iPhone SE 4 will be released around March next year.
NASDAQ reaches 20,000 point milestone! Tesla led a group of tech giants to reach new highs. Has the Christmas market started?
Historically, every year on the seven trading days after Christmas, that is, the five trading days at the end of the year and the first two trading days of the following year, investors tend to go long, and US stocks are likely to rise. This seven-day market is called the “Christmas market.” The data shows that in the past 70 years, the S&P 500 index has an 80% chance of rising in these seven trading days.
Wall St Advances as Inflation Data Cements December Rate-cut Hopes
The USA CPI is as expected; did the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December become stable?
The latest CPI report indicates that inflation is not worse than expected, and analysts believe this paves the way for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week.
US stock market forecast | November CPI data meets expectations, the three major futures indexes rise sharply; Quantum Computing concept stocks surge before the market, with Rigetti and Quantum both climbing over 10%.
Pre-market up over 1%, Tesla's sales in China for December usher in a "good start": first week sales of 0.0219 million Autos, Cybertruck has completed Energy consumption declaration in China; Google executive: Search AI is the biggest bet, with an expected investment of 50 billion in 2024.
Major Wall Street firms collectively warn: investors' "frenzy" is waning, and the momentum of the U.S. stock market may slow down.
The famous short seller at Morgan Stanley stated, "The kind of fervent sentiment that helps people purchase U.S. stocks will face a reality check next year."