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The Stock Rally Is Back on Track. Memories of 2022 Linger. -- WSJ
Bank of America: Trump's Trade will protect the US stock market from a sharp decline but will not lead to significant increases.
Bank of America strategists indicated that as investors focus on Trump's protectionist economic agenda and proposals to lower corporate taxes, his return to the White House could protect the U.S. stock market from massive sell-offs.
On the first day of his presidency, Trump may sign over 100 executive orders, which will shake up the financial markets.
① On the day Trump takes office, USA policy will undergo a major transformation, which may have widespread and profound effects on subsequent financial markets; ② The outside world expects him to sign at least 100 executive orders involving multiple areas of market concern.
Is "Tariff 2.0" from Trump approaching? Wall Street: The risks have decreased, no need to worry too much!
① The president-elect of the USA will take the oath of office on January 20, and his tariff policy is receiving much attention; ② Analysts at Goldman Sachs believe the White House will avoid the economic costs and political risks associated with widespread tariffs, while Bank of America also believes that companies have learned lessons from the previous trade war, and the risks have decreased.
The era of "Trump 2.0" has begun! The fervent Trade faces a significant test; what will happen to the U.S. stock market, the dollar, and Bitcoin?
With Trump's return to the White House on January 20, these Trades are facing challenges.
Futu Morning News | The leaders of China and the United States spoke on the phone! Call bets on China Assets have surged again; Trump is about to officially take office and will revoke all of Biden's executive orders.
The USA FTC approved Chevron's acquisition of Hess Corp for 53 billion dollars; the Federal Trade Commission of the USA expressed antitrust concerns regarding Microsoft and OpenAI's partnership; TikTok has resumed its services in the USA.
One week before Trump's inauguration, Global Assets are celebrating wildly! Stock markets in China, the US, and Europe are all rising, and Bitcoin is nearing its historical high.
U.S. stocks achieved their best weekly performance since November, European stocks recorded a fourth consecutive rise, Hong Kong stocks posted their best performance in three months, the Csi 300 Index rose nearly 3% for the week, and Bitcoin surged 14% to exceed 0.105 million USD.
Transaction Amount TOP 20 | Rumored to be an acquisition target! Intel's stock price surged over 9%.
On Friday, the stock market's top trading volume was NVIDIA, rising 3.06%, with a transaction of 40.922 billion dollars; the second was NVIDIA, rising 3.12%, with a transaction of 27.646 billion dollars; the third was Apple, rising 0.75%, with a transaction of 15.784 billion dollars.
U.S. stock market close | On the eve of Trump's inauguration, U.S. stocks rallied collectively! Tesla and NVIDIA rose over 3%, China Concept Stocks surged altogether, and JD.com skyrocketed over 10%.
The Nasdaq 100 rose by 2% at its peak, the chip index increased by nearly 3%, NVIDIA rose by over 3%, Tesla at one point rose by over 6%, while Novo-Nordisk A/S fell by over 5%. The Chinese concept index gained over 4% before closing with a gain of more than 3%, and JD.com rose by over 10%.
What happened? China's Assets, US Tech stocks, and others are all surging online! How will the Trump 2.0 era be interpreted in the US stock market?
China's Assets great counteroffensive.
U.S. stock market morning | Technology stocks support a rise in U.S. stocks! Intel is up over 7%, Tesla is up nearly 4%; Chinese concept stocks and Cryptos concept stocks are strongly rising, JD.com is up over 8%, and MSTR is up over 6%.
U.S. stocks continued to rise in early trading on Friday, with major indices expected to record their first weekly gain since 2025. Trump's inauguration next Monday may signal that the market is entering a more turbulent period.
Down 10% from the peak! Small Cap stocks in the "Trump Trade" have lagged behind.
The E-mini Russell 2000 Index has dropped by 10% since last November, while the S&P 500 Index, as a benchmark for large-cap stocks, has only fallen by less than 3%. Recent high interest rate expectations have put pressure on small companies. Due to their higher leverage, the rising cost of borrowing may constrain their growth potential.
U.S. Stock Preview | All three major futures indices rally! UBS Group: S&P 500 is expected to rise to 6,600 points this year; Bitcoin has returned above $100,000! Concept stocks related to Cryptos are up across the board in pre-market trading, with MSTR r
JD.com shares rose over 5% in pre-market trading, with the new version of the APP launching a "gift" feature; Nukkleus shares increased over 74% in pre-market trading, following a rise of over 21% yesterday.
Daily Options Tracking | Taiwan Semiconductor Options trading is hot! Call ratio rises to 67%; CNI Xiangmi Lake Fintech Index company SOFI's implied volatility increases to 83%, and a single out-of-the-money call option earns up to 300%.
NVIDIA fell nearly 2% on the previous trading day, with the Options Chain Volume slightly increasing to 3 million contracts, with Put options accounting for 41%; on the Options Chain, the market bulls are firmly betting, with the highest volume being the call options expiring today with a strike price of $140, reaching 0.145 million contracts, and the open interest is 0.135 million contracts.
UBS Group: The cooling of inflation supports the bull market in U.S. stocks, and the S&P 500 Index could reach 6,600 points!
The UBS Group Chief Investment Officer for the Americas stated that the probability of the Federal Reserve further lowering interest rates this year may be underestimated.
Why are there opportunities in U.S. Treasuries, stock valuations in the U.S. are too high and need a correction, while the Chinese and European stock markets reflect value at this moment? Goldman Sachs latest research explains everything.
Goldman Sachs believes that the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve's policies remain hawkish, with two interest rate cuts still anticipated within the year. As inflation continues to cool, there is further room for a decline in U.S. Treasury yields in the future. The U.S. stock market has already priced in perfection, and if economic growth or corporate earnings fall short of expectations, it may face a correction. In contrast, the stock markets in China and Europe show strong potential, with companies in non-Technology sectors also being very attractive.
The Bank for International Settlements warns: Trump's tariffs may trigger global stagflation.
① The Bank for International Settlements warns that if Trump comes to power and imposes tariffs, it may push up the dollar and trigger Global stagflation; ② The report states that the possibility of the Global economy "not landing" is increasing, with rising risks of trade friction and division; ③ The bank suggests that if the Federal Reserve does not cut interest rates or raises rates, Other countries may be forced to lower interest rates, which could lead to capital flow and Exchange Rates adjustments.
Before resigning, Biden's advisor warned that if Trump interferes with the Federal Reserve, inflation will strike again.
Bernstein stated that Trump's policies will increase inflation, and if they further undermine the independence of the Federal Reserve, it would indeed cause serious problems.
Trump enters a "polling" honeymoon phase: nearly sixty percent of people in the USA believe he will "successfully" complete his second term.
① As Donald Trump is about to begin his second term as president of the USA, he is receiving some of the most positive evaluations of his political career; ② the public generally believes that he is likely to fulfill some of the commitments he made during his campaign regarding economic and immigration policies; ③ according to a poll released on Thursday, nearly 60% of Americans believe Trump will perform "outstandingly" in his second term.
Federal Reserve officials: If inflation data continues to improve, the extent of interest rate cuts this year may exceed expectations.
① Federal Reserve Governor Waller stated that if inflation data continues to improve, the Federal Reserve may lower interest rates earlier and more quickly than expected; ② After the December CPI data was released, traders tended to believe there would be two rate cuts this year, with the first rate cut likely occurring in May.