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iShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF Newsroom
Fed Chair Powell Says Rising Yields Reflect Higher Growth Expectations, Not Inflation
Will the interest rate be cut by 25 basis points next month? Analyst: No one can say for sure what the next move by the Federal Reserve will be.
The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, but there is more uncertainty about the speed of future rate cuts, and the market has reduced bets on another rate cut in December. Based on current observations, the dot plot forecast for September seems to have become a 'joke'.
US stock market morning session | The three major indexes rose together, with Tesla up more than 3%, breaking through the $300 mark; Chinese concept stocks generally trended lower, with ke holdings down more than 6%.
On the evening of the 8th peking time, the US stock market opened with mixed gains and losses on Friday. After Trump's victory, investors are weighing the possibility of the Republican Party simultaneously controlling both houses of Congress in the usa, and are paying attention to the latest rate cut measures of the Federal Reserve and the future interest rate path.
US Treasuries "regain" lost ground after the election, investors rethink the "Trump trade".
The 'Trump trade' is gradually fading, analysts believe that this is because the market's response to Trump's victory was 'subconscious', now they are beginning to question whether Trump will fulfill his policies as scheduled, whether the tariff remarks are just an initial negotiating position, and whether the 'ambitious' tariff measures can pass through Congress.
US Stock Outlook | The enthusiasm for the 'Trump trade' cools down! The market questions the difficulty of policy implementation; nvidia continues to rise before the market opens, refreshing the historical market cap of the US stock market
Is the demand for ai chips slowing down? taiwan semiconductor's sales in October increased by 29.2% year-on-year, the lowest growth rate since February; upstart's Q3 revenue was $0.162 billion, a 20% increase year-on-year.
Daily Options Recap | Large options bet of over a hundred million US dollars! Institutional investors collectively buy into nvidia; super micro computer rebounds by over 12%, with call options expiring in the money this Friday doubling in value.
Energy Transfer, the oil & gas pipeline company in the usa, revealed strong Q3 performance the day before yesterday, with options volume soaring to 2.75 million contracts and a call ratio of 99.4%.
Terminal Fed Funds Target Seen Higher Due to Likely Higher U.S. Fiscal Spending
Schroder Investment: How will Trump's victory affect the global economy and stock market?
He promised further tax cuts and regulatory easing, while imposing additional tariffs and tightening immigration policies, this series of policies will have a re-inflationary effect on the economy of the usa.
The Fed's balance sheet assets have fallen below 7 trillion US dollars! When will Quantitative Tightening reach the finish line?
The Federal Reserve has taken longer than Wall Street expected to withdraw liquidity from the market, but Trump's victory may make the prospect of ending QT more urgent.
Trump's senior adviser: Federal Reserve Chairman Powell still has a chance to complete his term.
Insiders said that despite Trump's unpredictable nature, he and his economic team currently believe that Powell should continue to serve as chairman of the Federal Reserve at the time of interest rate cuts.
Futu Morning Post | The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled! The financial markets are all celebrating, with the S&P and Nasdaq hitting record highs; Chinese concept stocks are all booming! Foreign institutions believe it is a good time
USA inflation concerns resurface! Labor costs unexpectedly surged in the third quarter; Trump triggers a frenzy in ETFs, with risk asset ETFs attracting 16 times the daily average inflow; Nvidia's stock price hits a new high, with a total market value exceeding 3.65 trillion US dollars, receiving a "buy" rating reaffirmed by Goldman Sachs.
"New Bond King" speaks out: If the Republican Party achieves a "red sweep," US bond yields may be even higher.
Gornack's main point is that he believes that an increase in government spending in the usa will require an increase in borrowing through issuing national debt, thereby putting upward pressure on long-term bond yields.
Powell: The Fed can cut interest rates faster or slower, Trump cannot fire me, it may be appropriate to slow down interest rate cuts in the future.
Powell stated that the fight against inflation is not over yet, core inflation remains somewhat high, the job market continues to cool down very slowly, the Federal Reserve will continue to cut interest rates, but if inflation cools down and the economy remains strong, the rate cut can be slower. In the short term, the US presidential election has no impact on monetary policy, future fiscal policy implications will be taken into account, and the US deficit and fiscal policy are economic obstacles.
Express News | Federal Reserve Chairman Powell: High inflation has greatly eased, inflation will continue to decline to 2%, maintain confidence.
Full text of the Federal Reserve statement: a 25 basis point rate cut, no dissenting votes.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, with the policy statement wording remaining basically unchanged. There was no clear signal issued regarding future rate cuts, but the expression of confidence in reaching the inflation target was removed.
Express News | The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points.
Has the U.S. bond market been 'spoiled'? Inflation may once again become the top priority for the Federal Reserve!
Closely monitor the two-year US Treasury yield, as it may reveal the direction of the Federal Reserve to investors more clearly than what Powell said.
US stock market early trading | Nasdaq rose nearly 1%, nvidia rose over 1% to hit a new high! Growth tech stocks, Chinese concept stocks rose across the board, xpeng surged over 12%
The three major stock indexes in the U.S. rose and fell unevenly, with the Dow and Nasdaq hitting historical highs at the beginning of the session. As of the time of writing, the Dow fell 0.05%, the Nasdaq rose nearly 1%, and the s&p 500 index rose 0.43%.
What stocks and bonds are bullish for Trump's second term?
Trump's policy proposals are expected to boost bank stocks, value stocks, small cap stocks, and short-term US bonds as well as junk bonds.
US Stock Market Outlook | The US election dust settles! Global investors turn their attention to Powell; Initial jobless claims data released, narrowing gains in the three major index futures.
Xpeng's pre-market rise by nearly 6%, P7+ launched today, pre-sales orders hit a record high; Goldman Sachs: reiterates 'buy' rating for Nvidia, expects positive earnings revisions to boost stock price.