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Annual Outlook | 7100 points! Wall Street refreshes the Target Price for the S&P, is a bull market in US stocks continuing in 2025?
Overall, major banks are optimistic, with the highest target for the S&P reaching 7,100 points, while the average target point according to Bloomberg Statistics is 6,496.17 points, indicating more than a 7% upside potential from the current latest closing price; many bears have flipped their positions, and only two Institutions remain cautious about the direction of the U.S. stock market.
Wall Street tycoons shout: The FED's "triple cut" this week is not unexpected, but the easing cycle will pause here!
①This Thursday morning, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision, and Wall Street widely expects a 25 basis point rate cut, achieving a "three consecutive reductions." ②Krishna Guha, Vice Director of Evercore ISI, stated, "The December FOMC meeting will mark the end of the first phase of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle."
There are significant differences in policy viewpoints within Trump's cabinet. Will market pricing undergo major changes?
Investors should pay attention to the policy risks of Trump 2.0.
Daily Options Tracking | Entering the trillion-dollar Market Cap club! After Broadcom's earnings report, multiple call contracts earned over 10 times profit; is Bitcoin aiming for the $0.11 million mark? MSTR's implied volatility rose to 112% last Friday.
SoundHound AI rose over 23% on the previous trading day, with the Call ratio increasing to 71%, and the Options Chain volume increasing by 2.77 times to 0.525 million contracts. On the Options Chain, bulls are the market Block Orders, with the highest Call volume for this Friday's expiration at strike prices of $20 and $10, respectively 0.024 million and 18,000 contracts.
The "New Federal Reserve News Agency": After another rate cut this week, the Federal Reserve is ready to slow down or even stop cutting rates.
Nick Timiraos stated that one of the choices for the Federal Reserve this week is to cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point, and then strongly hint at slowing the pace of rate cuts using new economic forecasts. Facing differing opinions internally, Powell must balance policy adjustments.
Is there another reason to be Bullish on ASIC? The second half of the computing power war has begun, and the era of AI reasoning may be approaching.
① Ilya Sutskever, co-founder of OpenAI, pointed out that data resources are running low, and the next generation of AI models will be true AI Agents with reasoning capabilities. ② The o1 model recently released by OpenAI has a standout performance characteristic of "capable of reasoning and thinking." ③ The demand for reasoning calculations can even reach 4.5 times that of training calculations, and customized ASIC chips are expected to rise.