Don't just focus on the polls! The trend of the US stock market is the compass for the US presidential election. Here is an investment guide for you to check out.
Analysts have found that since 1984, as long as the S&P 500 index rises accumulatively between August and October, the ruling party will win the election; on the contrary, if the S&P 500 index drops during this period, the challenger will win.
Is liquidity flashing red again? The overnight reverse repo amount of the Federal Reserve has fallen below 250 billion for the first time in three years.
Recently, the expectations for a loose cycle by the Federal Reserve have been heating up, despite the recent reduction in US Treasury supply, the funds held in the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement tool RRP continue to decline, reflecting mmf's desire to lock in higher interest rates.
Trump: It was Biden and Harris's inflammatory rhetoric that led to my assassination.
Trump also stated that Biden and Harris' policies are "destroying" this country, allowing millions of very dangerous immigrants to enter, and destroying the nation and cities.
US stocks closing | The three major indexes have mixed gains and losses, with the Dow hitting a new high! The performance of technology stocks is divergent, with Intel up more than 6% and Apple down nearly 3%.
On the eve of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, there was continued rotation in the U.S. stock market, with investors selling technology stocks and buying blue chip and small cap stocks.
TOP 20 Trading Volume | Apple fell nearly 3%, iPhone 16 sales prospects are worrying; Oracle rose more than 5% and set another historical high during the trading session.
On Monday, the top trading volume in the US stock market was nvidia, which fell by 1.95%. US Secretary of Commerce Raimondo stated that current US companies are overly reliant on Taiwan Semiconductor for chip manufacturing; Apple, the second top, fell by 2.78%, with a turnover of 12.546 billion US dollars; Tesla, the third top, fell by 1.52%, with a turnover of 12.254 billion US dollars.
Express News | The three major US stock indexes closed mixed, with the Nasdaq falling 0.52%, the S&P 500 index rising 0.13%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 0.55%.
"Critical moment"! What are the key points of the most important decision by the Federal Reserve in recent years early Thursday morning?
In addition to the magnitude of the interest rate cut, the dot plot is particularly important for this year's interest rate cut forecast. If more members support a larger interest rate cut, the market may adjust asset pricing accordingly. In addition, how Powell "explains" the magnitude of the interest rate cut at the press conference will also affect the volatility of the financial market.
Express News | Goldman Sachs expects the s&p 500 index to rise by about 6% to 6000 points in the next 12 months.
The Federal Reserve's big event is coming up, and the options market is heating up with speculation! The S&P 500 index typically fluctuates by about 1.2% on interest rate decision days.
Ahead of the highly anticipated Federal Reserve meeting this week, stock market investors are taking defensive measures by turning to traditionally safer sectors, despite market sentiment leaning towards a larger rate cut by the Fed.
Goldman Sachs: Hedge funds have been selling global equities for nine consecutive weeks, while financial stocks are regaining favor.
A report from Goldman Sachs shows that banks, insurance companies, and trading companies are once again favored by hedge funds, which have been purchasing stocks of these companies at the fastest pace since June 2023.
U.S. stocks early market | The Dow hit a new high again, the Nasdaq fell by nearly 1%; nvidia, apple fell by about 3%, Oracle rose more than 3% against the market
As of press time, the Dow Jones rose by 0.48%, while the S&P rose by 0.2%. Investors are waiting for the highly anticipated September monetary policy meeting of the Federal Reserve, expecting the institution to cut interest rates for the first time since 2020, but there are differences of opinion on the extent of the rate cut. The Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also hold policy meetings this week.
Express News | US stocks opened mixed, with the Dow up 0.35%, the Nasdaq down 0.62%, and the S&P 500 index down 0.08%. Apple fell nearly 3%, and well-known Apple analyst Guo Mingchi stated that the estimated pre-order sales of the iPhone 16 series in the first weekend a
What signal? Traders are once again betting heavily on the Fed cutting interest rates by 50 basis points this week.
Once again, bond traders believe that there is a greater chance of the Federal Reserve policymakers cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at this week's meeting, rather than 25 basis points.
The future direction of the stock market when the Fed cuts interest rates?
Will the market experience a rebound or face downward pressure as the Federal Reserve is about to announce an interest rate cut? Historical data shows that the reasons for the interest rate cut are more important than the cut itself.
US stock market preview | Three major futures show mixed trends, Apple falls more than 2% before the market; Has the expectation of interest rate cuts changed again? Multiple senior central bank journalists speak out: There should be a 50 basis point rate
Trump Media Technology Group's pre-market rose nearly 2%, Trump suspected of being targeted for "assassination attempt" again; Intel pre-market rose more than 1%, news said it received a $3.5 billion subsidy to produce chips for the U.S. military; U.S. stocks survived the "summer storm", but this time it all relied on "S&P 493".
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Prominent "big short": The impact of the Fed's interest rate cut decision on US stocks is limited, and there are more important factors.
Morgan Stanley analysts said, "If the employment data weakens from now on, regardless of whether the Fed's initial rate cut is 25 basis points or 50 basis points, the market may trade with a risk-off sentiment."
Express News | Citigroup: Both Trump and Harris' political agendas are not favorable for US stocks. Investors are more concerned about other factors than the election vote.
The US stock market survived the "summer storm", but this time it relied entirely on the "S&P 493".
Since mid-July, the seven major technology stocks in the US stock market have fallen by 5.3%, while the S&P 500 index has fallen by less than 1%. The rise of other companies outside the 'Big Seven' has offset most of the decline in technology stocks, with the real estate and utilities sectors both rising by 11%.
Express News | US employment data influences the market trading sentiment and economic growth becomes a key driver of the stock market.