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The Federal Reserve's first rate cut in four years, with Bank of America predicting a further 75 basis point cut before the end of the year.
Bank of America Global Research Company said on Wednesday (September 18th) that it is expected that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 75 basis points for the remaining time this year, which is higher than previously estimated. Bank of America also pointed out that the Federal Reserve may further reduce interest rates by 125 basis points by 2025. On the same day, Goldman Sachs predicted that the Federal Reserve would cut interest rates by 25 basis points multiple times until mid-2025.
Is the Federal Reserve starting an interest rate cut cycle on the cusp of a wave, possibly revealing the outcome of the election in advance?
Taking history as a lesson, in an election year with declining interest rates, the probability of the incumbent president or challenger winning is greater.
Wall Street is in an uproar! After the bold move by the Federal Reserve, where will it go from here?
JPMorgan predicts that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November, but it depends on the weakness of the US labor market. Bank of America believes that there will be another 75 basis points cut before the end of the year. Goldman Sachs and HSBC, on the other hand, expect a 25 basis points rate cut in each of the next six monetary policy meetings.
The smaller the plate, the more fierce the rise? Rate cuts plus a soft landing, the Russell 2000 has risen for six consecutive days and may become the 'big winner'!
After the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate cut, the three major US stock indexes all straight up but ended with losses; the small cap representative e-mini Russell 2000 index also straight up, with greater elasticity, and ultimately closed flat; 'aggressive rate cuts' meets 'strong economy/soft landing', small caps are considered to benefit more from loose mmf policies.
Express News | Jefferies Financial Group: Initial jobless claims hit a 5-month low, indicating a stable business environment.
US stocks pre-market: NASDAQ up more than 2%, S&P 500 index, Dow Jones hit new record highs again; growth tech stocks collectively rise, nvidia, tesla up about 5%.
The Federal Reserve has initiated the long-awaited interest rate cut cycle, announcing a 50 basis point cut. This move will protect the world's largest economy from economic recession, causing a wave of risk appetite in global financial markets on Thursday, driving the stock market, US dollar, gold, and oil prices to rise simultaneously.
"Textbook-style" soft landing coming? Powell may recreate the bull market of 1995.
The strategist said that for the economy and the market, a scenario similar to 1995 is now starting to play out.
Express News | Bank of America: Fed cuts interest rates by 50 basis points bullish for investment-grade credit
S&P 500 index hits another all-time high. Industry insiders: the index can continue to rise until the USA election.
September 19th, Guolonghui | The S&P 500 index opened at a record high, and the substantial interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has strengthened confidence in the central bank's maintenance of the expansion of the U.S. economy. The S&P 500 index rose 1.7% at the opening in New York, hitting a new intraday high of 5,713.02 points. The ratio of rising stocks to falling stocks exceeded 8:1. The nasdaq 100 index, dominated by technology stocks, rose 2.3%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.4%. "As the market digests the substantial interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, the stock market explosively rose," said Adam, founder of Vital Knowledge.
Express News | The s&p 500 index has reached a new intraday all-time high.
Express News | US stocks opened higher, with the Nasdaq rising more than 2%, and Nvidia rising more than 3%.
5.1 trillion US dollars of options will expire! The "Triple Witching Hour" of US stocks will hit tomorrow night, what impact will it have on the market?
According to derivative analysis company Asym 500 estimates, approximately $5.1 trillion of index, stocks, and ETF options will expire on Friday.
Prominent bear: Powell's self-contradiction, it is not surprising that interest rates will be cut twice by 50 basis points this year.
Prominent economists argue that the Fed's 50 basis point rate cut actually acknowledges that they missed the opportunity to cut rates for the first time in July.
s&p 500 index hits a new high of 5700 points, gold and bitcoin rally together | highlights tonight
①The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle is boosting bullish sentiment, and tonight the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones are aiming for new historical highs; ②The Bank of England has kept its policy interest rate unchanged as scheduled; ③Trump uses bitcoin to purchase hamburgers and cola, and the cryptocurrency concept stocks collectively strengthen; ④The European Union warns that Apple needs to further open up its operating system.
Express News | The initial jobless claims in the United States for the week ending September 14th were recorded at 0.219 million, the lowest since the week of May 18th.
US stock market preview | All three major futures indexes rose, Nasdaq futures rose more than 2%; technology stocks and Chinese concept stocks rose collectively before the market, Alibaba rose more than 4%, Nvidia and Tesla rose more than 3%
Bitcoin surpassed $63,000 today, with pre-market gains in crypto-related stocks. MSTR and MARA rose over 5%; Tesla rose nearly 3% pre-market, with Robotaxi set to debut soon, and bullish views from Wall Street institutions.
The next question is, where is the endpoint of the interest rate cut and how fast will it be?
According to Powell's speech, the neutral interest rate may be raised and will not continue to cut interest rates at a rate of 50 basis points in the future, and economic data is still the main basis. Nick Timiraos said that cutting interest rates too quickly could delay the achievement of the 2% inflation target, while cutting interest rates too slowly could cause the unemployment rate to rise again. It is expected that the next meeting will continue to face similar uncertainty as this one.
Will the global interest rate cut marathon accelerate? The Federal Reserve is not the first one to try it, but it has taken two bites at once.
After the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut, several central banks that are directly linked or closely following the Fed have gradually adjusted their respective benchmark interest rates.
Express News | Survey: The significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve sets the stage for a soft landing, and US stocks are expected to climb moderately throughout the year.
Bridgewater Associates founder: Trump and Harris are not the presidents that the USA needs.
Ray Dalio said that this round of US elections may be the most important one in his life. The first question that Americans need to ask is, "Can we have a peaceful transfer of power?"