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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Every Options Tracking | Nvidia plunged nearly 5% overnight, a put contract made nearly 3 times the profit; bears still hold the upper hand! The 'audit storm' of the super micro computer continues to ferment, multiple put contracts doubled.
Pre-market up over 5%! Intel's Q3 datacenter revenue exceeded expectations, with options volume surging 110% to 0.71 million contracts, implied volatility rising to the highest percentile level within the year. Looking at the options chain, the most active trades are calls expiring on December 20 with strike prices of $25 and $30, both trading over 0.02 million contracts.
ETF tracking | Volatility double long ETF rose by 16%; Leveraged long ETF for super micro computer plummeted over 70% in two days
On Thursday, October 31, the three major stock indexes in the United States all fell. The s&p 500 index closed down 108.22 points, a decrease of 1.86%, to 5705.45 points. The October cumulative decline was 0.99, ending the continuous rise since May. The dow jones industrial average fell 378.08 points, a decrease of 0.90%, to 41763.46 points. The October cumulative decline was 1.34%, ending the uptrend since May. The nasdaq composite index, mainly composed of technology stocks, also closed lower.
Tonight, be prepared to face extreme winds and heavy rain: in the most extreme case, will non-farm payrolls turn negative?
① As the United States presidential election is approaching in four days, and the Federal Reserve's November decision is just six days away, tonight's release of the October non-farm payroll data in the USA is undoubtedly expected to attract the attention of all market participants; ② The unpredictability of this highly anticipated non-farm report seems destined to be the biggest of the year; ③ In the most extreme scenario, non-farm payrolls may even show a negative value.
Trump and Harris Plans Could Stoke Inflation. That Means a More Hawkish Fed
Hawkish signals hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts? Tonight's non-farm data may provide the final clue for the Fed's actions next week.
Strong non-farm data will enhance the market's expectation for the Federal Reserve to possibly pause rate cuts early next year.
The Fed may not have gotten what they wanted most, but the PCE data is not enough to change the rate cut outcome this month.
The Federal Reserve may not have received the inflation data it wanted on Thursday, but many economists believe that the new reading of the price indicator most favored by the Federal Reserve may still be sufficient to prompt the Federal Reserve to "cut interest rates by 25 basis points" in a step-by-step manner at its policy meeting next week.
Are the financial reports of the technology giants in the US stock market insufficient in the beginning of the season, is the "AI hot" expectation overhyped or just a technical profit-taking pullback?
Zhito Finance APP learned that investors have such high expectations for large technology companies in the United States that exceeding expectations is no longer enough for them.
Legendary investor once again sounds the alarm: "AI bubble" will eventually burst, leading to a collapse in the US stock market!
①Legendary investor Grantham believes that ai is a bubble, similar to past technology frenzies; ②he predicts that the US stock market will plummet significantly, but the development of ai will bring long-term transformative effects.
How were major asset classes interpreted during the 2016 election?
CITIC Securities: Recently, there has been a lot of discussion in the market about how global asset classes will evolve if Trump is re-elected. We refer to the market performance when Trump unexpectedly won in 2016 for comparative analysis. Before the 2016 election, the capital markets were dominated by risk aversion sentiment, with gold > USD and US bonds > stocks and agricultural commodities; after the election, risk assets rebounded overall, long-term interest rates continued to rise, the USD index continued its strong trend, while gold experienced a short-term decline.
Election night trading guide: key time points, key focus points, will there be any delays?
Goldman Sachs recently released a research report stating that the market has overestimated the risks of uncertainty caused by delayed election results. Goldman Sachs indicated that the speed of counting votes in this election may accelerate, and it may not be as close as reflected in the polls. The trading in the financial markets may reflect the election results on the evening of the election day or the next morning, with the key results of the county-level elections becoming the focus of the market. Although there may be some fluctuations in the first few hours of the election night, it will soon return to normal levels.
Mag 7 all fell, Nasdaq plummeted! Did the giants' financial reports collapse?
The financial reports of the giants are not bad, both revenue and profit are very outstanding, but considering the current stock price and valuation levels, the performance guidance they provide is not good enough.
"Trump trade" and dealing with "Trump trade"
Analysis suggests that, in response to potential tariff shocks, it may be appropriate to adjust the exchange rates of the Renminbi to cope, and it is recommended to avoid some heavy asset enterprises. Potential tariffs may lead to a contraction in external demand, prompting a stronger focus on stimulating domestic demand, potentially elevating consumer to an unprecedented level in financial stimulus.
PCE data is mixed with joys and sorrows! Will the Federal Reserve still cut interest rates twice this year as scheduled?
The road to bringing the inflation rate down to 2% will be long and difficult, with some economists starting a heated debate on whether the Fed will pause interest rate cuts in November...
Futu Morning Post | Non-farm payrolls are in trouble tonight? Fed's 'hot ticket committee' takes preventive measures; Excellent stocks celebrate! Amazon, Intel stock prices soar after hours.
In September, PCE experienced an 'expected rebound', which did not affect the gradual interest rate cut expectation; usa White House economic adviser Bernstein: Inflation is approaching the Federal Reserve's 2% target.
11/1 [Strong and Weak Materials]
[Bullish/Bearish Factors] Bullish Factors: Bullish factors include the rise in US crude oil futures (69.26, +0.65), expectations for easing inflation in the USA, active share buybacks, and requests from the Tokyo Stock Exchange for increased corporate value. Bearish Factors: Bearish factors include the decline in the Nikkei Average (39081.25, -196.14), the drop in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (41763.46, -378.08), the decrease in the NASDAQ Composite Index (18095.15, -512.78), 1 dollar = 152.10-20 yen, and the fall of Chicago Nikkei futures (38350, -710 compared to Osaka).
China Securities Co.,Ltd.: What are the common driving and ending signals for the simultaneous rise of US stocks and gold?
CBO predicts that the potential labor productivity in the usa will reach a low point in 2025. Combining the institutions' determination that the usa's fiscal expansion model is difficult to sustain, the usa's output gap will turn downward in 2025, and the simultaneous rise of US stocks and gold may come to an end, eventually leading to a wave of resonant adjustments.
U.S. stock market closing | S&P Nasdaq posts its largest two-month decline! The technology 'Big Seven' all suffered losses, with Microsoft falling more than 6%.
S&P fell nearly 2%, showing the worst performance in nearly two months along with the Nasdaq. In October, the S&P and Dow fell by about 1%, while the chip and Chinese concept indexes fell by over 4% for the month.
Is non-farm employment looking grim this Friday? Both the "star-studded Fed committee" and Biden's chief economic advisor are "taking precautions".
Former Federal Reserve economist Sam, who proposed the 'Sam Rule', stated that taking into account the impact of hurricanes and strikes, in the worst case scenario, the number of employed population may have negative growth, that is, almost a decrease of nearly 0.05 million.
US stocks closed: All 'Seven Giants' suffered heavy losses, with the S&P and Nasdaq posting their largest declines in nearly two months.
1. PHLX Semiconductor Index fell more than 4%; 2. The China concept stock Jinlong Index fell by 1.3%; 3. Apple's Greater China revenue fell short of expectations; 4. Guo Mingchi: the possibility of Super Micro Computer being suspended or delisted is increasing.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Sinks Over 200 Points on Risk Aversion