usa's October PCE inflation slightly rebounded! But the market still expects the Fed to cut interest rates again in December.
The market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates again in 2024. According to CME Group's Federal Reserve Watch tool, the market anticipates a 67% chance of a rate cut at the December meeting.
U.S. stocks early market | Core PCE has the largest increase since April of this year! Spot gold briefly dropped; quantum computing concept stocks are booming! QUBT and RGTI rose by 10%, and Quantum once triggered a circuit breaker.
The market continues to focus on Trump's tariff policy and cabinet composition. The actual GDP growth rate of the United States in the third quarter slowed down compared to the second quarter.
Bull market continues! Morgan Stanley looks at the US stock market in 2025: reaching 6,500 points by the end of next year, with high-quality cyclical stocks as the top choice.
Daiwa believes that the s&p 500, represented by high-quality stocks, will benefit from the Fed's rate cut cycle, stabilization of business indicators, policy mix, and uncertainty in economic data. However, considering that specific policies have not yet been introduced, U.S. stocks have been severely overbought, and next year's market is unlikely to "rise in a straight line," the key will be to see the Trump administration's measures in cutting fiscal spending.
In the era of Trump 2.0, a tough immigration policy is emerging! What impact will it have on the market?
After Trump took office, he sparked round after round of concept stock trading in the US stock market. In these Trump trades, there is a "niche track" - namely private prison operators benefiting from immigration policies.
Express News | In October, the core PCE price index in the usa increased by 2.8% year-on-year, marking the largest increase since April 2024.
Trump's tariffs have roiled the foreign exchange market, why are the U.S. stocks so calm?
Trump's tariff threats have not yet caused panic in the usa stock market, but investors should be wary of the negative impact of tariffs on economic growth in the usa and the Fed's expectations for interest rate cuts.
J.P. Morgan: The usa stock market will maintain its global dominance and continue to outperform other markets.
Since the beginning of this year, driven by the technology and ai boom, the usa stock market has continued to outperform the international stock market. At the same time, the us economy remains resilient, as the Federal Reserve has entered a rate-cutting cycle against the backdrop of declining inflation.
Trump's nominee for Treasury Secretary exposed for past actions: once shorted the Federal Reserve!
Wall Street insiders say this trade has enhanced Bessen's reputation as an expert in financial upheaval, which is crucial for steering the usa economy in the future.
U.S. stock market preview | The Federal Reserve's "favorite" inflation data is about to be released! Most Chinese concept stocks are rising before the market opens, with jd.com up nearly 4%; cryptos concept stocks are generally rising, with MSTR increasin
Ambarella's stock surged 20% before trading, with third-quarter performance exceeding expectations, and strong growth in ai business; Dell Technologies' stock dropped 12% before trading, with disappointing third-quarter revenue and fourth-quarter guidance.
Express News | jpmorgan abandons its pessimistic forecast for the s&p 500 index, expecting an 8% increase by 2025.
Express News | The annualized quarterly growth rate of the usa's real GDP for the third quarter was revised to 2.8%, in line with expectations.
Express News | The initial jobless claims in the usa for the week ending November 23 were 0.213 million, lower than the market expectation of 0.216 million people.
Jpmorgan: It is expected that the USA stock market will continue to dominate globally in 2025.
November 27th, jpmorgan analysts believe that unless geopolitical and trade policy risks diminish, the dominance of the USA stock market over other countries' stock markets is unlikely to weaken.
Beware of inflation rising again! Goldman Sachs 2025 Outlook: US stocks are too expensive and underallocated, gold remains the best hedge option.
Considering the prospects of upside risks such as Trump's tariffs, geopolitical tensions, etc., Goldman Sachs recommends investors to maintain a moderate pro-risk stance in asset allocation, while balancing in a multi-asset investment portfolio: reducing the allocation of highly concentrated and overvalued US stocks, focusing on Asian stocks such as Japan, short-term government bonds, US dollars, and gold which remains the best hedging tool.
The U.S. stock market is thriving, yet the demand for hedging against market crashes has surged!
Trump's policy risks make investors restless.
Will the USA inflation face a rebound at the end of the year, can the Federal Reserve sit still?
The Federal Reserve faces more "bumps" in its struggle to bring the inflation rate down to the 2% target, which could inadvertently disturb expectations for interest rate cuts.
Daily options tracking | The Black Friday shopping craze is coming! Multiple call orders on amazon have made over 3 times profit; this month has accumulated nearly 37% growth! The call options for gamestop have surged to 83%, and call orders are being hot
MSTR fell over 12% again, retracing nearly 35% from its high. Overnight, there were 0.72 million options contracts traded, with the call ratio dropping significantly to 53.6%. Among them, put options with a strike price of $250 expiring on November 29 witnessed capital inflow, with nearly 0.02 million contracts traded.
Trading reminder: U.S. stocks will be closed on Thursday for Thanksgiving and will close three hours early on Friday.
November 28 (Thursday) is the Thanksgiving holiday in the usa, and the US stock market will be closed for one day. November 29 (Friday) is the day after Thanksgiving, and the US stock market will close three hours early.
Wells Fargo & Co: The US stock market can rise another 10%, but investors should avoid this sector!
wells fargo & co strategist predicts that the stock market will continue to perform strongly next year, but not all sectors are expected to rise.
The strong rise in US stocks has set off a wave of IPO recovery, shining a new light on private equity investments.
A new analysis from data provider PitchBook shows that last year, the exit value of companies backed by acquisition companies in the usa was only 8.7 billion dollars, far below the pre-pandemic average of 45.1 billion dollars. Factors affecting the entire IPO market—high interest rates, macroeconomic uncertainty, and rising geopolitical risks—have created a challenging environment for private equity-backed companies.