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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
Entering the Christmas month! The Christmas market may continue to drive the U.S. stock market to new highs, with these sectors expected to become the "hottest opportunities"
Historically, in the seven trading days after Christmas, which include the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the next year, investors tend to be more bullish, with a high probability of an uptrend in the U.S. stock market. This seven-day period is known as the 'Santa Claus rally.' Data shows that over the past 70 years, there has been an 80% chance of the S&P 500 index rising during these seven trading days.
Will the Federal Reserve lower rates in December? This week's non-farm data is crucial.
Citi stated that Friday's non-farm payroll report will be crucial for the Federal Reserve's recent policies and future direction. If employment data is strong and inflation strengthens in November, the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate hikes at the December FOMC meeting; conversely, there is a possibility of a 50 basis point rate cut. Citi analyst Andrew Hollenhorst mentioned in a report on December 2 that, according to Powell's latest views, the usa labor market has not stabilized and is still softening. This indicates that the current policy rate is restrictive and the labor market will not be a source of inflationary pressure. This is in contrast to the current market sentiment.
Looking back at 2024: Why did the rising trend of US stocks shock Wall Street?
①The US stock market has shown strong performance this year, with the s&p 500 index rising by about 27% year-to-date, expected to achieve the best performance in many years, far exceeding Wall Street's expectations at the beginning of the year. ②So, what are the factors that the US stock market relies on to achieve such a strong increase?
US Stock Gold Mining | Black Friday trade continues to explode! Demand for upgrades stimulates apple to regain the global market cap top spot; retail stocks walmart and costco reach new highs collectively.
The 'audit scandal' ends? Super Micro Computer soared nearly 29% overnight! After external review found no improper behavior, the company replaced its CFO; Advertising agencies The Trade Desk may merge with streaming platform Roku, with the former's stock price reaching a new high, while the latter surged 11% in one day.
Is the US stock market's upward trend over? The "fear indicator": it can still rise!
Analysts indicate that multiple indicators are closely aligned with the situation in the 2016 election year, and the overall tendency of signals still favors the bulls.
Unprecedented! Rockefeller International Chairman warns: The US market is brewing a super large bubble.
① Global investors are currently pouring a large amount of funds into usa assets, and Ruchir Sharma, chairman of Rockefeller International, has issued a warning about this; ② Sharma pointed out that this mentality is "inflating" an unprecedented bubble and distorting the fundamentals of other economies; ③ Currently, usa stocks account for nearly 70% of the major global stock indices, and their premium compared to other regions of the world is somewhat exaggerated.
Full text of "The Influential Committee Member" Waller's speech: What determines whether the Federal Reserve continues to cut interest rates or chooses to skip?
The speed and timing of interest rate cuts will be determined by the economic conditions encountered along the way; the balance in the labor market indicates that current policies still provide restrictive support for the Federal Reserve to continue cutting interest rates. If decision-makers' estimates for the interest rate target range by the end of next year are close to accurate, it is likely that the process of achieving this goal will involve skipping interest rate cuts multiple times.
Daily options tracking | China assets ETF call options significantly bought in; super micro computer stock price skyrocketing, making call options profit 4 times.
Apple rose nearly 1% yesterday, with its stock price surpassing its historical high, reclaiming the top position in global market cap, as a major investor bought 4,000 call options expiring on September 19, 2025, involving an investment of 4.38 million dollars.
Does the Stock Market Have a Valuation Problem?
"Super strong bull market" Cannot be replicated? Professor at Wharton School of Business: US stocks expected to be lukewarm next year, bullish on small cap stocks!
① Jeremy Siegel, a finance professor at the Wharton School, predicts that the s&p 500 index next year will have a return on investment in the range of 0 to 10%, with the return on technology stocks possibly remaining flat; ② Siegel believes that technology stocks, including amazon, nvidia, and Meta, which have been driving the rise of US stocks in the past two years, are starting to lag behind.
Top economists: Next year, the "big hot" in the US stock market will change! Is the high-return gold period over?
Wharton School professors said, "Perhaps this time, we will see the hot stocks that have performed exceptionally well in the past two years relatively weak."
Is the usa experiencing a "CEO layoff trend"? The number of CEOs leaving this year has reached a record high.
①Last Sunday and Monday Eastern Time, both intel and Stellantis' CEOs announced their resignations, highlighting a wide trend in the entire business sector in the usa - the "layoff tide" of CEOs.②The number of CEO resignations in the usa has reached a record high this year, with more than 1800 CEOs announcing their resignations as of October, indicating an increased risk appetite and a desire for leaders to address the complex business environment and turn the company's situation around.
Wall Street's 'bullish army' is growing stronger! Wells Fargo & Co: US stocks will lead the global market next year.
Wells Fargo & Co expects the s&p 500 index to reach 6,600 points by the end of next year, and advises investors to ignore short-term fluctuations and buy on dips.
Year-end rally in US stocks, JPMorgan estimates s&p 500 could reach 6300 points.
The US stock market is expected to have a strong final battle, jpmorgan said that it is wise to seize the market's momentum before mid-January next year, with a low possibility of a pullback.
A once-in-a-century event! U.S. stocks are expected to rise more than 20% for two consecutive years, and Wall Street is betting on new highs by the end of the year.
① On Monday this week, the s&p 500 index set a new record, and Wall Street investment banks predict that U.S. stocks will continue to rise by the end of the year; ② If the s&p 500 index continues to rise this month, it will have increased more than 20% for two consecutive years, a scenario that has only occurred three times in the past century.
Federal Reserve officials are dovish, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverted, reigniting hopes for a rate cut in December.
USA Treasury bonds regained lost ground in early trading on Monday, and market sentiment was further boosted towards the end of the day in New York, as a key official from the Federal Reserve opened the door to further easing monetary policy later this month.
Federal Reserve officials take a dovish stance, and the U.S. Treasury yield curve briefly inverts, rekindling hopes for a rate cut in December.
USA Treasury bonds regained lost ground in early trading on Monday, and market sentiment was further boosted towards the end of the day in New York, as a key official from the Federal Reserve opened the door to further easing monetary policy later this month.
Technology remains the preferred sector! Ubs group outlook on US stocks in 2025: these four sectors are most likely to rise
① Analysts at ubs group suggest that investors allocate to technology, finance, industry, and utility stocks; ② Analysts indicate that technology remains the preferred sector, with expected gains next year likely to exceed large cap.
Bank of America stock strategy team expects the s&p 500 index to reach a target of 6,666 points by the end of next year.
The Bank of America stock strategy team published a report indicating that the rise of the usa stock market is far from over, with a target of 6,666 points for the s&p 500 index by the end of next year. Part of the optimistic view is based on the expectation of strong economic growth, with some stocks benefiting more than others. The team predicts an economic growth of 2.4% in the usa next year, higher than the market forecast of 2%. The bank prefers economically sensitive stocks, recommending an increase in shareholding in financials, discretionary consumer, metals, real estate, and the utilities industry. It also believes there are more opportunities in individual stocks than in the indices, particularly favoring those stocks with healthy cash return expectations that are associated with the usa economy, namely large-cap value stocks. The team also anticipates the market rally will expand from the "magnificent seven stocks" to the s&p.
Federal Reserve officials are speaking out, is confidence in interest rate cuts in December significantly increasing? Employment data becomes crucial.
The market is prepared for further interest rate cuts.