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A well-known Brokerage predicts that the S&P 500 Index will reach its peak in early 2025, followed by a decline.
Stifel expects that the S&P 500 Index will peak in the first half of 2025 and fall by 10% to 15% in the second half. The Brokerage stated on Thursday (December 12) that a slowdown in economic growth and stubborn inflation are the main concerns.
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As of the market close on December 11, the S&P 500 Index has risen by 27% year-to-date, surpassing 6,000 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index has accumulated a rise of over 33%, reaching a milestone of 0.02 million points, exceeding market expectations.
Be careful! December may be the last interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
The market still expects two to three rate cuts in 2025, which may be overly optimistic.
Almost 100%! Wall Street is convinced that the Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates next week.
Analysis suggests that the Federal Reserve will not deviate from the path of interest rate cuts in December, and there is reason to remain optimistic about the downward trend in inflation, with the most stubborn housing inflation normalizing, and seasonal factors possibly fading in the inflation reports over the coming months.
From the perspective of Fed Governor Waller, CPI indicates that inflation is moving in the wrong direction.
According to the so-called Waller rule, the breadth of inflation is increasing.
Egg prices have skyrocketed! The USA's PPI in November recorded the largest increase since the beginning of 2023.
Food costs drove the PPI in November to the largest increase in five months; portfolio management fees decreased, and air ticket prices indicate that the PCE Index may tend to weaken.