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S&P 500 Index Newsroom
"The 'terror data' greatly exceeded expectations, investors should pay attention to this concern."
In November, retail sales in the USA exceeded expectations with a month-on-month increase of 0.7%, but spending in restaurants and bars, the only service category in the retail report, declined for the first time since March.
Will the Federal Reserve pause interest rate cuts in 2025? Investment banks say strong economic growth is key to the US stock market! Four types of Stocks may benefit.
In the early hours of December 19 (this Thursday), the Federal Reserve will announce its decision from the December interest rate meeting. Some Analysts believe that further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve could have negative consequences.
U.S. stock market early session | The three major Indexes weakened slightly, while Tesla, Google, and Apple rose against the trend, with stock prices reaching all-time highs; Quantum Concept stocks continue to soar, with QUBT rising nearly 30%.
The market is waiting for the USA Federal Reserve's last monetary policy decision of the year. Retail sales in the USA in November exceeded expectations.
Wall Street has an unprecedented consensus on the outlook for the U.S. stock market in 2025! And this is exactly where the risk lies.
Every investor seems to think that the USA is the best place to invest, but the global narrative is likely to change next year.
US Stock Market Outlook | Higher than expected! USA retail sales data hits a new high since September, with the declines in the three major futures contracts narrowing; Tesla continues to rise nearly 2% in pre-market trading and is set to hit a new histor
The Quantum Computing concept stocks are seeing an expanded pre-market increase, with Quantum rising over 17%; Pfizer is up nearly 3% in pre-market trading! Revenue is expected to reach 61 billion to 64 billion dollars by 2025.
The scene from eight years ago is being recreated! Will Powell act the same way this time as last time?
Although there is no desire to mention Trump at all, the Federal Reserve may still consider the policy calls proposed by this presidential candidate in this week's meeting.
Historically rare! Only 31% of the constituent stocks outperformed the S&P 500 Index.
Only 31% of the components in the S&P 500 Index performed better than the Large Cap, which is the third lowest proportion in the past 50 years.
U.S. Stocks Mining | Is the "NVIDIA Moment" coming? Broadcom surged nearly 40% in two days; Tesla continued to rise over 6% overnight, with the stock price aiming for 500 dollars.
Apart from Tesla and Broadcom, technology stocks such as Google, Marvell Technology, Amazon, and Apple reached new highs during yesterday's trading session.
"Scary data" strikes tonight! Retail sales may indicate strong Consumer activity, is the "Christmas market" expected to start strongly?
Analysts at Bank of America stated that the second half of December is usually the second strongest period for U.S. stocks in the year, and this week's FOMC meeting may be the last hurdle before the Christmas rally.
Daily Options Tracking | Broadcom Options Volume has surged for two consecutive days! One Call order made a nearly 10-fold profit; Micron Calls soared to 78%, with large investors spending tens of millions of dollars on L to hedge against downside risks.
Impacting a market cap of 2 trillion dollars! Tesla's overnight close surged over 6% to reach a new high, with implied volatility rising to 80.49%. Options volume reached 3.05 million contracts; for this Friday's expiration, the call option with a strike price of 500 dollars had the highest volume at 0.116 million contracts, with an open interest of 0.044 million contracts.
Fed Decision Seems Unnecessary – Commerzbank
The TMT Trade is booming, financial net Buy is the highest, hedge funds are aggressively acquiring Consumer stocks... Goldman Sachs summarizes the five major Trade themes of the U.S. stock market at the end of the year.
Goldman Sachs traders indicated that last week there was a significant increase in activity in the TMT Sector on the Goldman Sachs trading desk, with multiple seven-figure large trades occurring. Finance is the Sector with the highest net Buying, where Insurance, Consumer Finance, and Capital Markets are the sub-sectors with the highest net Buying. However, Industrial stocks faced some pressure due to market concerns over the long-term high interest rates in the USA, widespread tariffs, and a strong dollar.
A comprehensive understanding: What did Trump say at his first press conference after winning the election?
① The USA president-elect Donald Trump held his first press conference after winning on Monday (December 16); ② he said that during his first term, everyone was against him, while in this term, everyone wants to be his friend; ③ Trump spoke about foreign issues, stating that he will facilitate an end to the Russia-Ukraine war and promote an agreement between Israel and Hamas.
Beware of inflation rising again! Morgan Stanley suggests reducing exposure to the "seven giants" of the U.S. stock market and the "Trump Trade."
Morgan Stanley Wealth Management suggests that investors consider reducing exposure to Large Cap Technology stocks and the recently outperforming "Trump Trade," as the company believes these Assets carry downside risks in the context of rising inflation next year.
DWS: Forecasts the Federal Reserve will reduce interest rates three times before the end of next year.
DWS has lowered its interest rate cut forecast from 5 times to 3 times before the end of 2025 (including one cut in December).
Wall Street speaks out: The Federal Reserve will pave the way for a pause in interest rate cuts this week.
Wall Street analysts believe that the Federal Reserve's rate cut in December may be the last for a while, and there is even a possibility of resuming rate hikes in 2025.
Barclays: It is expected that the Federal Reserve may gradually slow the pace of interest rate cuts after the December meeting.
Barclays expects the FOMC to lower the federal funds rate target range by 25 basis points to 4.25-4.50% at its December meeting, bringing the rate closer to the neutral level deemed appropriate by policymakers.
Express News | The seventh meeting of the China-US Financial Working Group was held.
Wall Street strategists: The Federal Reserve should not cut interest rates this week, or it may trigger a market bubble.
Well-known Analyst Yardeni believes that the Federal Reserve's pause in interest rate cuts may come too late, and that cutting rates now could ultimately lead to a 'vicious adjustment' in the market.
It's related to the Federal Reserve! The growth in productivity in the USA may continue.
Policymakers hold an open attitude towards the sustained growth of productivity, which may lead the Federal Reserve to reconsider its outlook on the economy and interest rate cuts.